Blizzard of 93

On the 0z GEFS, once the storm redevelops on the Mid Atlantic coast it crawls to the north east. Saturday at 10 am the mean low position is at the southern tip of the DelMarVa. It takes until 10 pm to get to Atlantic City, NJ. It is still just off of the central NJ coast at 4 am on Sunday. If this coastal redevelops at the right location, the slow movement could make this very interesting for many of us.

Yes indeed! On the 0z GEFS, once the storm redevelops on the Mid Atlantic coast it crawls to the north east. Saturday at 10 am the mean low position is at the southern tip of the DelMarVa. It takes until 10 pm to get to Atlantic City, NJ. It is still just off of the central NJ coast at 4 am on Sunday. If this coastal redevelops at the right location, the slow movement could make this very interesting for many of us.

Here is the end of the 18z EPS at 144 hours vs. the 12z EPS at the same time.

Agreed, ideally this will happen further south, but the redeveloping low is moving very slowly, so that could help a bit to maintain the precip shield as it strengthens & crawls northeast.

The 12z Euro also puts the northern LSV in the game for the Monday night Clipper that @Bubbler86 has mentioned.

Nice animated view of the 12z EPS that was posted in the NE thread.

Nice animated view of the 12z EPS that was posted in the NE thread.

The 12z EPS keeps CTP still in the game for next weekend. The initial low dies in the Midwest & the blocking forces the low to redevelop to our south & east. Exactly where that happens will determine our fate, but there are still tons of possibilities with this storm. Still 1 week to go.

Can the Euro please hold or even improve this storm for next week & regain its crown?

This is the JB tweet: Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi · 10m Wild storm is exiting New England. Monster likely next weekend or early following week. top 3 or 4 cold March 11-20 on the way. Winter making up for lost time

Long way to go. The Euro & Canadian are both drastically different than the GFS.

0z Euro… wow!

Warning level event just to the northwest of I-95 this run. Northern MD crushed this run.

Major changes for the good on the 0z Euro! The low in the Midwest is forced by the block to redevelop in NC. The low then absolutely crawls to the north and east. It slowly moves east to northeast. All of CTP & all of the LSV crushed with heavy snow this run! We are far from a resolution on this event!

Still going at hour 222 and the low seems to back to the west a bit.

The low continues to crawl to the north & east.

Slow moving low that jumps to the coast & exits east.

Drastic improvement at the surface as well with a low developing in NC.

Do you find that there is a brief lag of a few days for the effects of a MJO phase change to impact a weather pattern?

Sorry, but Weatherbell at 12z didn’t load anything beyond hour 189 for the Canadian ensembles.

There are also Drastic differences between the Canadian ensemble & GEFS for next weekend. Again, we are far from a resolution.

There are also Drastic differences between the Canadian ensemble & GEFS for next weekend. Again, we are far from a resolution.

There are Drastic differences between the 0z Canadian & 0z GFS for next weekend. We are far from a resolution at this time.

The 0z Canadian shows this Wintry scenario for next weekend for CTP & the Northeast.

I think that Next weekend is still to be determined, but we should have at least a 10 day Winter storm window between the 10th & 20th. I just hope we get 1 region wide Warning level mostly snow event before we end the season.