Now that I’ve had some lunch, The 12z GEFS has one of the looks good for this weekend.
Check out a few hours prior to what you posted. Some of the individual members get the coastal going earlier & further south.
Also, as you said later, the GEFS than stalls the low off of the NJ coast and it exits east thanks to the blocking.
Long way to go, but the GEFS took a positive step for CTP this weekend.