Blizzard of 93

Happy Hour GFS is back to trying again for the Tuesday night storm chance. The overnight timing would help for this time of year…

Lol, I’m just having fun at this point. Soon, even fake modeled snow will disappear from the weather models near our region for 7 or 8 months… Until then, post them if you’ve got them!

The 12z Canadian Ensemble keeps us in the game next week.

Good way to “Ruin” the numbers…

Heavy rain with occasional thunder & lightning in Marysville.

The models have all taken turns being terrible this year. No one is wearing the “crown” right now. All of the old rules were thrown out this year. The signals & model trends that usually work to move toward a consensus once inside of the 5 to 7 day window did not work this season. I am done with this La Nina!

I’m not even sure that it’s the same system on the 18z GFS? It now has the storm on Monday night, where as recent good runs before it was a late Tuesday into Wednesday system

Lol….What the heck….here is the 0z GFS snow map for the next week chance…. Dream on…

0z GFS was just perfect for CTP for the chance next week. We are way overdue for something to go right for us…

18z EPS looks interesting at the end of the 6 day run for next week.

The 12z EPS indeed was nice…

The 18z GFS looks interesting for next week & takes a nice track.

Lol! The EPS & GFS look very interesting… I’m trying to not get pulled back in… But…Why not fail 1 more time!?

Only got down to 40 this morning. Hopefully that doesn’t “Ruin” the average low for the month!

My point is that no one has much of a clue on global average temps going back more than a couple of hundred years ago. My other point is that Climate models can’t be very accurate with predictions for future decades when ensembles can’t provide an accurate forecast 15 days out.

I wonder what temps were like back in 500 AD or 750 BC….? Good thing that models are super accurate in order to predict 5 or 50 years into the future… History must have just started 100 years ago?

I’ve never seen a “moving 4 year average” used to track snow trends. I prefer to look at 10 year periods to identify a trend. The last 10 years at MDT when factoring in this current season will end up with 6 of the last 10 seasons producing above average snow.

Lol, did you see what @ChescoWx posted yesterday with the snow stats for the decades over the last hundred years? There have been great decades & terrible decades for snow…very cyclical…. Just because 2 of the last 3 years have been really bad does not mean that 2 of the next 3 years can’t be great snow seasons.

24 in Marysville for the low.

I’m also intrigued by your top 20 totals. In 09-10 Harrisburg (MDT) only recorded 57 inches. Did Chester county get a decent amount from the late February 2010 “Snowicane”? Also in 13-14, MDT only recorded 44 inches, so I’m curious to see which storms boosted your total to 80 inches that year? In 17-18, MDT only got 37 inches for the season, so I am interested to see which storms helped get you to 58 inches? This is a great trip down memory lane. It is nice to remember that we had some really good snow years just a few years back!

Thanks for sharing this cyclical trend. It’s good to note that some things indeed do have cyclical trends….Lol…I’m shocked! Some people (not on here…) think that world history just started this century!

I was surprised to not see 2011-12 on your least snow total top 20 list. In Harrisburg, we had around 11 inches for the season, with a little over half of that in October 2011.

I had a few issues with my trash cans this weekend…

Don’t “Ruin” my evening with the facts!

Please just once, can this come close to verifying?