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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. The 18z Euro keeps a good part of CTP in the game for frozen precip on Monday night & Tuesday with the coastal developing off of the coast of southern NJ & exiting to the east.
  2. I don’t mind where we are sitting now with the Winter storm chance for late next week when considering the good GFS runs that we have had for most runs the last couple of days. Also, the 12z Canadian & 12z Euro posted below show the storm tracking to our south & east with significant timing differences. The Euro is well off to our south east, while the Canadian is a good run for southern PA.
  3. 12 to 24 inches of snow this run is not too far to our north. We are still very much in the game, especially with the Euro still showing this to be suppressed at this time.
  4. Yes & it’s not too far off from crushing all of us like the 6z run showed this morning. As is, it’s rain to mix to snow as the low hits the coast and really intensifies. As you mentioned historic snow this run from the middle Susquehanna Valley up to Northeast PA.
  5. Hopefully the GFS is top dog with next weekend’s potential!
  6. Yes, the Euro has not been what it used to be years ago. Yesterday it has the low in Missouri tracking north & overnight it moved the low over 1,000 miles to the east off of the mid Atlantic coast.
  7. The 6z GFS actually currently has the middle ground track. The 0z Euro drastically changed & now has a track that slides off of the Mid Atlantic coast with precipitation not even getting to PA. The 0z Canadian has an initial low that gets to southern Illinois and then responds to the blocking and quickly redevelops the low off of the Mid Atlantic coast. It still blasts CTP with heavy snow, but gets there differently than the GFS.
  8. Why not, it’s Friday, let’s start it off happy with the 6z GFS snow maps. It will change in a few hours, but enjoy until 12z. The GFS has had some version of this storm for a few days now, so maybe it will lead the way for this event. Here are Kuchera & 10-1…. I would settle for half of these…
  9. The 6z GFS says Happy Friday to all with a top 10 historic snow storm potential for next Friday & Saturday!
  10. The 0z GFS has a major long duration snow storm for southern PA next Friday into Saturday with a low that tracks to our south & east.
  11. Agreed & I don’t think that I’ve seen the 6 inch snow line so far south this season on any other 16 day ensemble run.
  12. Good 18z GEFS run for the snow chance for late next week.
  13. 6z GFS has a great look for the next weekend winter storm chance.
  14. Lol, my apologies to Lancaster! Every other county In CTP got crushed this run & Lancaster airport got 10 inches on the 18z GFS. Lol, Don’t worry, only about 36 more runs to go until game time… plenty of time for changes.
  15. The 18z GEFS says we are still in the game for some winter weather on the 28th.
  16. The 28th storm might not be done trending into a mixed mess for many in CTP.
  17. Lol, if this would somehow verify, I think most of us would happily settle for 8 to 19 inches of snow in CTP! I am good with the 17 inches at MDT! That would probably make their top 20 all time snow storm list.
  18. Here is the snow map for just the period of the March 3rd/4th snow on the Happy Hour GFS.
  19. Hopefully this is the one that finally gets it done! The blocking is in place by this point. What a long duration Winter storm. Verbatim this run for southern PA is snow to mix back to heavy snow. It starts next Friday am & does not end until eating afternoon next Saturday.
  20. Also, 6 of the last 10 years at Harrisburg have featured above average snow seasons….
  21. This CTP chart for Harrisburg seasonal snow totals since 1980 shows that we have had years in each decade that struggle with poor snow amounts. We just had an above normal Snow season in 20-21 in a Winter that featured 2 storms that brought nearly 1 foot each to Harrisburg. We also had a few of the 2-4 type events that year as well. This chart also shows a few examples that a bad snow year this year does not mean that next year cannot be a great snow Winter.
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