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Poimen

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Everything posted by Poimen

  1. How is the EURO spitting out so much precip over the piedmont? Seems highly suspicious to me.
  2. We can't even buy a flippin' clipper. When was the last time a clipper even produced anything east of the mountains? Anyone remember?
  3. What's the over/under on the next SREF mean for RDU? BY the way...pulling for you guys in the Triangle.
  4. RAH is fairly bullish with the next round--1-2 and possibly 3" amounts in the Triad.
  5. using the Kuchera method, the 18Z NAM drops 6" in eastern Forsyth county. We'll see.
  6. Interesting. The soundings all looked good to me. But hey--I'll gladly take whatever at this point.
  7. The models seem to have overestimated qpf amounts in the NC piedmont this morning. Otherwise, they seem on track. It's always good to see that precip shield in MS/AL.
  8. I still think the accumulating snow holds off in the Triad until tonight and early Saturday. Radar is not all that impressive over the area currently.
  9. The 18Z GFS showed rain tomorrow with an expanding precip shield to the NW, then gradually changing to snow from west to east overnight and Saturday. That's probably the best scenario at this point. I wouldn't expect much in the way of snow tomorrow in NC outside of the mountains.
  10. I think the 18Z GFS is much more realistic, showing an expanding rain shield to the NW tomorrow (snow in the mountains), then changing to snow from west to east across the foothills and northern Piedmont as the entire system shifts east Saturday morning.
  11. Agreed completely. One question about the EURO: Does it extend the precip into Saturday?
  12. Yeah--let's remember that more often than not, even in January, those snowfall maps end up being reduced by at least half, if not more. As others have said, I'd be shocked if anyone receives more than a car topper this time around. But be of good cheer, winter seems to be setting in for the foreseeable future.
  13. Forgive me if this is addressed elsewhere, but can someone explain the difference between the NSIDC numbers and Wipneus' numbers posted on the Arctic Sea Ice forums? According to his figures, extent and area have only declined since the 25th. Why is there such a discrepancy?
  14. Like I said, we'll see what happens. Given the UK/CM are both north of the GFS lends credence to the NW trend theory. Time will tell.
  15. I knew we were dealing with suppression in the EC when I woke up and checked the weather app on the iPhone.
  16. It seems as if the post-Christmas blues have arrived in full force...
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