The 4 Seasons
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons
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Huge EPS improvement. Only 2 whiffs vs. about 1/3rd on 12Z for example. -
paste/powder isn't really my thing. its funny how everyone seems to have their thing they care about with regards to winter storms. but i would take 6" of snow during the day than 12" at night. That dec storm was the biggest of my life (in that month) and completely forgettable.
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ha right. we have to work on a first map so im starting on that soon. Did put this out about 40 hours ago and i think the numbers still hold up from the current thinking. Have to update the NE map though.
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yea i think its a bit under done with that map. For CT too. the 0C 850 line barely makes into the SE 1/3 of CT and by that time the precip is mostly shutting off and the bulk of the snow has fallen. Looks like a solid 6-10 that run for most
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damn james cant get a break. It sucks living on the cape for 9/10 nor'easters and they couldn't even throw him a bone with a localized event.
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weird how the just used a yellow gradient from .5 to 2. thats a wide range, everything just looks yellow lol
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shame we cant see soundings for free anymore on Pivotal.
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Another solid tick of improvement all around for CT.
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Top analogs for F096 on the GFS. Jan 15 and Jan 16 both in the top 3. Not really surprising given the southern and eastern focus on that particular run. Mean snowfall for the top 15 analogs shows widespread warning snowfall (8+) for the majority of SNE with 60-70% of them exceeding 6" over a good chunk of CT/RI/MA. Take it for what its worth, considering its just based on one op run of a not so great model.
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Watches up for Jimmy! God bless.
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i saw CQX reporting light rain and 40 last hour, whats going on right now in Harwich? same?
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the germans are coming
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Snowfall totals across CT. Thank you to everyone who submitted a report. Lower than i expected around southern CT and its all gone now. Grade: B
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Vaporized here, like it never even happened. Sunny and green.
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UKMET 126 132 138 144HR sfc progs improvement from the 00Z run.
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same. we did go 1-2 for far SE CT, so thats good. more than just the shore, its pretty much all of the 4 southern counties that are in that 1-2 range. It really ended up being the best lift and snow growth to the north, along with less qpf down this way. Mixing was never really an issue. We did have some graupel/snow pellets for a time when the lift in the DGZ went to zero but for the most part it was snow.
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34 Cloudy. Didn't take long for the driveways and streets to go black. Melting fast with the sun angle and temps just above freezing. Nice to see the grass turn white for a little while.
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i love this place
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Nice looks like our 2-4/2-5 will verify nicely over a good chunk of the state, mainly the northern 4 counties, but a bust on the southern 1/2. Looks like 1-2 there. All the reports so far have been in that range. thanks for the report. thats waterbury right?
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I dont recall Jan 3rd 2003. Must have been a non-event here. Looking at BDR they reported 1" on the 4th.
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Thats about right for NYC though. They have gotten 28 1 foot+ storms in the past 151 years. Crunching the numbers thats....1 1 foot+ storm every 5.4 years. Right on track.
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lol its fine no worries. if i were you, yeah, 0.5 is fair. for your own personal records.
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8+1.1 = 9.1....you missing Jan 3rd? you must have got close to an inch on that one.
