The 4 Seasons

Don't forget the RUC, love the RUC, George loves the RUC

I dunno seems a bit conservative to me

If this turns into a Jan 16th repeat with the low going inland, this forum will go absolutely nuclear. At this point no one should be locking in anything, im just saying if it slowly trends to that and we miss out on yet another storm heading into Feb.

OKX went from nothing to high chance pops for 3 periods just like that.

what are those three maps you posted? UK, GEM and EC right? Man F5 goes bananas with ratios on some of those. Looks like more than 2X 10:1 in certain areas.

GEPS mean has bumped up quite a bit. Heres the mean track and qpf as well

i know, just like baiting him

why

We're gonna get whacked..

But what does the Navy say?

Hit refresh faster.

Dec 16-17 2020 and Feb 1-3 2021 were pretty slow movers..especially Feb

i know i know, we all do i think he loves being the popular kid on the forum, good or bad

Oof, low blow

He would sleep through 1888 if it happened again.

ah yes, thats what i figured lower res at the starting point which would result in a greater and greater spread in the variables through time. I think i was thinking the same input/calculations but the grid values output was just a lower resolution, that makes sense.

If its just a lower res version wouldn't it spit out the same solution as the op? I figured it would just look smoother/less detail i.e. lower res no matter what point in time you look at. This is the control and op run at hour 240 they look quite a bit different. I've always wondered this because i've heard a lot of other people say this as well

Calling everyone in CT if you can update your STD snowfall on New England snow ill be doing a seasonal snowfall map update. Thanks.

OT but I really wish I was looking at models back when that storm was FX it must have really been something to see. I remember the nws, the weather Channel and local news couldn't hype it enough. I remember Paul kocin said it will possibly be the biggest storm in over 50 years possibly 100 (1888).

We do have a rather big storm on our hands, it will rival the blizzard of 1978...even stronger.

There is very few members that update right after an event. I have checked it but there's really no point since I usually have to check the last 10 or so pages to get all the people that didn't update in his site anyways. It is helpful for making the running seasonal snowfall totals for CT though, I do use it for that. Speaking of which I need to do the first one soon. Most are probably in the 10-20" range atm.

Sorry for the delay on the totals, finally got around to posting this. I thought our final call was overall a good forecast We bumped up across the board to near 0 at the shore and low ending warning amounts in the NW hills. We nailed this area, although the amounts ranged from 4-7 instead of 4-8. The 2-4 area verified mostly well except we underestimated the elevation component of this storm along with mid levels warming south to north while precip was a bit stubborn to push into CT from the SW. This allowed inland areas of SW CT to recieve more snow than the CT river valley up to the MA boarder. Final Grade: B Final call and CT snow totals First call

Snowfall totals from the light snow event from Thursday morning. Our only call was a general 1-2" for much of the state with isolated amounts up to 3". We went less than an inch for the NW part of the state. The transition to rain to longer than expected, especially along the shoreline where it struggled to change to snow until after sunrise. Most of the state picked up 1-2" in our range except for the shore and SE corner where amounts ranged from a half to 3/4s of an inch. The northern CT river valley also stuggled again. There's some extra graphics i did for this one. Final grade: B- Final call and snow totals New Haven and Fairfield county totals Town by town snowfall totals

Snow totals pretty impressive yesterday and they could add another 2-4 to that today. must be nice.