burgertime

I think it might be time for him to walk the plank to a good ol' fashioned Keelhauling.

+500k ...how can NOAA even attempt to match that? They only got funds for the new GFS super computers due to super storm Sandy. Also machine learning on ads is vastly different than models that use ridiculously sophisticated math and massive data input (though it may be similar to the amount of data from ads?). Again you may be 100% right just when I was on a project to do AI it wasn't that simple. By the way there is an interesting article here which may back you up. https://venturebeat.com/2021/09/29/deepmind-claims-its-ai-weather-forecasting-model-beats-conventional-models/#:~:text=DeepMind claims its AI weather forecasting model beats conventional models,-Kyle Wiggers%40Kyle_L_Wiggers&text=In a paper published in,usefulness in 88% of cases.

If you would bother to learn anything you'd know the models are a guide not a map. For 10 years of being on the board you should be able to look at the models, remember how storms have played out in the past and then decide for yourself what is likely to happen. Not live and die by each model run FFS.

Not sure what field you're in but it's really not that easy. I had to help with a simple AI project with a LOT of budget. First you have to find the people which is difficult. Then there is a lot of trail and error. Simple things like finding discrepancies in finance programs can take a year to implement. Just not sure we're there yet for weather models... not to mention quantum computing is still very much in it's early years. But could be wrong and maybe you have more experience.

lol...damn looks like I came back just in time. At least you all have a cliff to jump from. Here I'm just always looking up at the cliff. I've seen 2 good snow storms in almost 7 years.

Also near the end it starts blowing that low up. This is a plausible solution but it doesn't mean it is THE solution. Start the cliff diving if all the models converge around 12z Thursday.

Yea still looks like it could be a fun one for you guys. Also this is just one run....

Not to get too far off here but how would one really implement it? Seems like it would be very tough and extremely costly. I'm sure these huge super computers of the globals already use some sort of AI or advance learning. We're dealing with some insane computations. It's probably something that takes years to really implement with such focused AI.

Calm down. Funny how it worked last weekend. It's one run.

Worst part is, it's such a good setup. At least the pattern seems to be reloading so there's always the next one of it his doesn't turn out good.

It's crazy accurate here. So to europeans it's the hot babe next to the Euro though it repeatedly turns down my drink offers.

I'm really curious what happens Friday it looks like this could be the rare case where it isn't just cold air chasing moisture especially for CNC and ENC. It may be a little surprise thump. Also due to the cold front one of the NAM doesn't really mean anything at the end of the day, just looks about right. Still think that shield of precip is probably bigger than NAM is showing but that may not help too much.

One thing to note if that confluence to the NE can move out faster that increases chances...but again without phasing this looks pretty plausible.

Storms will always take path of least resistance and that is some really cold air it has to fight to head north west. Without phasing to lift it the NAM looks right to my eyes.

NW trend gets tough with that confluence to the north though. Do think precip spreads further NW than shown on models.

Interesting storm here. Hope ENC can cash in. One thing to remember for folks further west is a lot of times the precip field tends to expand a bit more than expected. Always tough though when there just isn't a ton of moisture to work with.

Congrats everyone especially in that I-85 corridor where ZR looked scary thus looks like it'll probably over perform!

Looks to me like along I-85 probably from Spartenburg to Gastonia would be a raging sleet storm. That's maybe a bit of a saving grace.

Looks the same as the 00z run to me. Maybe just a hair stronger out to 57.

ICON has a really good look indeed.

The CAD we all dream of and everyone is praying Freddy Krueger doesn't show up.

Lines up with the SREF as well. This could be a crazy storm. Snow then sleet compacting it, then freezing rain. This really feels like a storm we had in I believe Jan. of 2008. Started as snow switched to sleet then got some ZR but thankfully it was mixing with sleet so the ZR was minimal.

Just had a look at the Hi-Res NAM precip type and it's a descent dump of snow for WNC then lots of ice with probably a flip back to snow?

Got to see a friend I hadn't seen in awhile which lead to drinks and a super wicked hangover yesterday. So was avoiding anything but a couch, TV and a little social media. NAM and Hi-RES NAM look a little more south to me this morning. Feel like battle ground will be CLT to INT. Do think someone just west of CLT is gonna get in on something super good. Good luck everyone!