burgertime
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Everything posted by burgertime
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@87 our energy is south of the GFS. 00z GFS has it at the Nebraska border while the Euro has it at the TX/OK border.
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Out to 81 energy is a bit weaker than the GFS and the 12z Euro run. Also a tick slower than the 12z Euro run
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One thing as well that gives me a bit of hope is how the Euro is handling the energy in the south vs. the GFS at around the 50+ hours. It's pushing it further south than the GFS is on it's OP runs. We're in a weather pattern so usually you're gonna repeat things to a degree.
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Stay up for the party! Out to 48 and not huge differences just yet. One thing that may give hope is previous runs had energy in the southeast stronger than it is now at 500mb.
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I'll try haha. On my phone as I didn't get a good sleep and I'm gonna have a look at this then hit the hay. So may be more of a synopsis.
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Great write up! Especially in the ops/ens. Very informative. As usual with winter storms in the south it’s going to come down to 2 days out before we really know anything. What a headache for the weather services. I’m split on this. On the one hand the OP just doesn’t look “right” given the setup…but what is more likely? A once in a lifetime Miller A or the usual thing which is a Miller B hot mess that only folks north and west of I-40 cash in on? Time will tell the tale.
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Last post of the night for me. Icon is snowier for NC. See you for the 00z runs!
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Now at 144 just better. You all are in for a good one.
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Euro EPS tracks the low just off the coast.
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Euro EPS looking good out to 114. It has the low south of the OP run.
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Yea this thing has been jacked on practically all models. Still waiting on CMC. ENC folks are gonna be rooting hard for the UK Met.
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Someone needs to look at that Jan/Feb 2008 storm I believe it was. Got lots of snow with ZR/sleet and especially heavy sleet for 30 minute to an hour at a time when rates couldn't overcome the warm air. No matter what trends say this is a big dog.
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You're owed a good foot at least. Let's hope it keeps it up for you. Rooting for that solution.
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It looked pretty close to the GFS to me. Stays a little further south and gets the job done but ENC gets robbed due to all that WAA.
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Look at this.
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Congrats to WNC on this run.
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Low looked to be taking a good track ... but it's caved to the GFS on this run.
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@123 snow breaking out around NC/SC border. Some WAA with this system.
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Ya'll gonna like the Euro! @120 at least for it's rejection of the GFS. It's got the low tracking over the northern panhandle of FL.
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Already closed off.
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Out to 108 and Euro looks well south of GFS
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Euro is out to 54. So far no big differences. Energy looks slight stronger to the west with a little higher of a ridge out west compared to it's 00z run.
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We'll get the crisis hotline setup...
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Been stuck at 105 for awhile now for me.
