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burgertime

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Everything posted by burgertime

  1. I also think you'll be fine. It's always like throwing darts where the heavier bands setup but you should get 6+ I would think.
  2. Good luck on the snow everyone! I'm watching jealously from afar.
  3. Out to 84 NAM is a crush job for north eastern NC. It is the 84 hour NAM so huge grain of salt.
  4. It's close. It's seems like they keep sniffing around that idea today. Will be curious if the 00z runs have any surprises..
  5. Yea for sure. Those runs tomorrow should be interesting if this keeps it up plus the new recon ingest.
  6. Not much changed in the 18z NAM at the end though it is a tad colder.
  7. NAM should be better. More seperation with the streams at 5H out to 60
  8. Here's the difference at 5H between the two https://jumpshare.com/s/TybL8AVKkMqaIOX4t3Ev
  9. 18z NAM has the energy weaker in Canada compared to 12z and not as far south out to 45
  10. Unfortunately I'm headed to dog training so can't do a pbp
  11. Candian is a double barrel low ZR nightmare for most of the SE.
  12. Sorry meant for NC should have clarified. GA and points south are ZR. Middle TN gets a great snow on the backend.
  13. At 5h GFS is more neutral tilt and sends a big round of ZR at hour 111.
  14. 12z GFS looks like a few inches of snow up front then a massive sleet fest with ZR after.
  15. Very good post! That's also a likely scenario.
  16. No argument there. This was for sure a let down on the run.
  17. Not sure if the models have improved that much since back in the days when you would get a classic CAD event that was more snow than ZR but to me it looks like one of those types of storms. That Jan 2010 storm was a similiar setup but without the true arctic air mass that this one has. Friday I'd be watching things out west closely.
  18. You can see up along Canada and in NY we have strong highs there with arctic air. That should be a good cold CAD event for a widespread area.
  19. Yep it's looking like the Euro. Sending the bulk of the moisture up the west side of the apps. It is 84hrs on the NAM but yea not the right direction at all.
  20. That energy in the north is coming down faster than the Euro. It had it in Canada at 69hrs on the 6z Euro and just touching Idaho at 72. At 72 on the NAM it's diving through Idaho.
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