burgertime
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Everything posted by burgertime
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Just look at this thing of beauty. https://i.imgur.com/uyppCnw.mp4
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Comparing the 00z and 6z the 00z is a little stronger but I like this cause it sinks a little further south.
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@140 blizzard conditions across NC and parts of SC. This is ridiculous.
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@135 BOOM! SE plastard! Total snowgasm. This is gonna be an epic run. Let's all pray its the one lol.
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Just look at this...
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@129 it's about to blow. Coming across the southeast. Once it makes that turn...
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@111 it's cutting off. Let's go!
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Big difference at 500mb vs the 00z is that it was a big cut off low. On the 6z it's not cut off yet. But it still looks like a monster setting up.
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@108 this thing looks like a beauty. On the surface maps it's a big bad storm incoming.
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Dig baby dig. @93 it's slightly SW of the 00z run. Gonna get interesting.
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6z looks interesting. Slightly faster than the 00z GFS, northern energy looks a little stronger. For sure gonna be closer to the previous 00z GFS than the Euro. Who knows where she lands though. Energy is dive bombing at 84. Next few frames will tell the tale.
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It's trying. This is the 00z run from last night. Good trend.
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GFS out to 36. My early guess is this may dig slightly more but looks very similar out west with the 00z with the initial setup.
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Better look on the ICON for sure. I haven't kept up but does ICON verify very well in the US? Even here it's mainly used for predicting weather for Germany and Scandinavian regions and best in the short range. It appears to be trending to the Euro/GFS.
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6z is running. Let's see if the hot streak continues.
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Again if the GFS is correct you'll do fine. Bullseye if this was taken verbatim would be probably RDU to GSO. But statewide with this solution you'd be looking at 6 inches I'd have to guess with many along and east of I-85 getting 8+. Take QPF with a grain of salt..yada yada yada
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If GFS is right then basically anyone in this very crudely drawn nightmare of a circle I've made will get a good snow. The coastal areas would also likely benefit as it pulls away.
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Sounds like GSP is leaning on the GFS which would is a good sign. 12z runs should be telling today.
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Even a broken clock had to be right once? How is it every year I come expecting a different Brick and it’s the same old Brick?
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Thanks! Haha I just love it here too much even if all winter it’s 36 and rain most years. Looking forward to seeing how this plays out. Even the UK Met trended in the right direction though it sends the low to the FL panhandle.
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Yea I can see that for sure. EPS looked pretty damn close to the GFS with the setup. You guys are in for it I think. Makes me jealous haha.
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Here is the 00z EPS snow output. It’s night and day compared to the control run.
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Now that’s a backyard special right there. The dream. I think what’s even better is knowing the trends the Euro seems to be at least saying all the pieces are there for this. Drop the QPF in half and it’s still one crazy storm.
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Euro and Euro EPS are really close to the GFS but stay suppressed. Actually not a bad look at all. GFS while an absolute crush job looks too good to be true. I’d still expect the Euro to start trending in GFS direction though. This has a very Christmas storm of 2010 look to me.
