burgertime
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Everything posted by burgertime
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He's been on the board for 10 years. People have explained this to him over and over again. You're probably wasting your breath.
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Because part of the equation for our earth creating moisture is heat.
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Cliff diving over a storm that will give most of them snow. I'd be happy with a dusting/flurry. My 10 day forecast is 8 days of cloudy weather and 45 for a high. The two days that aren't cloudy is because it's partly cloudy. Which means a little of sun in the morning.
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It's the same old song and dance with a big storm. We read the tea leaves 5 days out trying to make heads or tails when we don't know anything till 2-3 days out. If I'm in ENC I'm getting worried. I feel bad for GSP/RDU NOAA right now. Trying to make heads or tails of this to the public has got to be a nightmare. Either way it's a winter storm for a large population of people.
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Also lines up better with Euro/EPS/UK Met.
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That is the biggest issue. Our energy in the NE keeping the lane closed to the north keeps retreating faster and faster while the low slowed down each run. I think just like with snow you probably cut totals in half in reality. Worst part is verbatim this would be ice then snow which would bring down lots of trees and powerlines. So please Euro save us.
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Yea 6z is a ZR nightmare. Loads of WAA up front.
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Also just want to point out many here getting upset at runs not showing 1 foot of snow are likely to still get a good 4-6. I get being in ENC fretting about this storm. But if you're in WNC you should be counting your blessings and overjoyed at what you're seeing.
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ICON is not a terrible look. Lines up with the Euro/EPS.
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RDU you folks look away...you probably won't like the EPS run tonight
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EPS looks closer to the OP run. Def took a jump from 12z with being less suppressed.
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Only problem is the Euro took a step away from the GFS. Hang in there, there is still hope.
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Yea I thought early on with our energy Thurs/Friday it was already weaker than the GFS. As always the waiting game. Hope it was worth staying up for
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I know there is a lot of doom and gloom but let's see at 12z if Euro is making a trend back to a weaker more Miller A type solution. This was a good step IMHO.
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GFS at least for NC folks was further northwest and more amped. Euro: GFS
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GIF of 500mb. Arrow is the starting point of our energy. Also another piece drops from Canada.
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Given the GFS this is not too bad. Very curious to see if in future runs it makes it less and less amped.
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@123 WNC is getting hammered.
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@111 lots of WAA....the good news is, it's not as a bad as the GFS. The bad news is there is a lot of warm air with it as others have pointed out.
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@108 weaker and more positively tilted. It's trying.
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Out to 105 this looks like it's gonna be better than the GFS run.
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Both the 12z Euro and 00z GFS had the low closed at this point. So this run of the Euro is seeing it not as strong. Now we'll see what happens.
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Out to 93 now it's caught up with the GFS but it's weaker. Not closed off yet.
