Jump to content

dseagull

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    310

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by dseagull

  1. dseagull
    To my untrained eye, the storm just went on a rapid tilt, and looks to be really pumping some moisture over us now... intensity comes and goes, but I think I'll see over at foot on barnegat bay. Impossible to measure.
  2. dseagull
    Ripping fatties on Barnegat Bay... Much to my dismay, my GSP will hunt in any condition, but wanted no part in the 40+mph wind and sideways snow. Going to be nearly impossible to measure snow. Have bare ground less than 5 feet from 3+ foot drifts. Wind keeps increasing.
  3. dseagull
    That band is dumping good, and someone flipped the switch on the fan. Looks like that band is going to setup west of me.
  4. dseagull
    Finally moderate snow and the roads have caved with the temps and intensity. Flake size increased and wind continues to ramp up. Should absolutely DUMP from 2AM-8AM
  5. dseagull
    For totals, I still wouldn't trust it as far as I could throw it, but for precip location and banding during an approaching storm, absolutely. Just my opinion from over the years.
  6. dseagull
    Radar filling in offshore, and temp just crashed to 30.9 from 33.7 in the past half hour. Dusting remains and light snow just began again after a brief lull. Game time.
  7. dseagull
    Radar and short term models are going to play so many tricks on those who have stayed up for the past week for all of the runs. (Myself included) Its Friday Night Game Time... Rally the Troops.
  8. dseagull
    Time will tell. I fish the NE and have for 30+ years. I also take monthly samples that are irrelevant compared to SST satellite temps. Too many variables to draw conclusions to any single event, let alone season. Still enjoy. And still see potential. just ramping up. Edit: commercially fish and observe the NE canyons for a living. (Walking dog and typing...give me a break)
  9. dseagull
    They weren't, and I'll eat crow when the fat lady sings her tune. Going to have some further praise towards the GFS if the signal was indeed first recognized by the least trusted models prior to 48 hours. Going to be an interesting year end report by many forecasters. Storm is bombing out. Let's enjoy.
  10. dseagull
    Beautiful
  11. dseagull
    Pixie dust begins on Barnegat Bay. Returns should fill in over the next 45-60 minutes. A band is going to set up north of here within 2 hours. 2018 redux version? Edit : light snow came in like a wall within 2 minutes, and large flakes. Instantly beginning to cover lawn, boat, and car.
  12. dseagull
    Going to be plenty of surprises... thing is cranking now. Bombs away. Look at the satelite satellite presentation. Further NE, but this thing is going to set up some incredible rates in these bands with the expansion. NYC still getting a foot. Coastal Monmouth and Ocean in Jersey will see pockets of 18 plus. Good storm. Beautiful transition from something we discounted less than 36-48 hours ago... and on a weekend none the less.
  13. dseagull
    Been agreeing with you since early on. Not wavering. NYC PROPER, will see a foot of snow... I don't have the time to post the live product graphics. This STILL has a classic bomb signature. Not sure I understand the mood swings. Everything is coming together. Enjoy folks.
  14. dseagull
    Lighting beginning to fire ENE off hatteras... building... (no way to load such high res. Imagery loops) Still, looks perfect.
  15. dseagull
    Prior to now. Everything looks great with presentation. WV loop looks even better if you want to see the beginning of tilt and (maybe) future capture. This is going to explode.
  16. dseagull
    What graphics are you using and what are they derived from? Just curious.
  17. dseagull
    Gotcha... understand... I'd be happy to have that convo in banter.
  18. dseagull
    Engine is about to turn over. Still looks perfect.
  19. dseagull
    Take a high level scientific statistics class, and I GUARANTEE you wouldn't be sad. Numbers are static and involve no emotion. (Mods, sorry...feel free to remove...back to the storm) This coastal is just about to get going. By 1630, moods are going to change.
  20. dseagull
    100 percent. Been saying the same thing for almost 2 hours now... this has BEAUTIFUL presentation. Getting black to my south. Wind just started increasing 2knots/15min intvl.
  21. dseagull
    Don't think people will discount similar placements (not totals) of jackpots. Islip through central Monmouth may be annihilated, just like 2018. Let's see what sort of convection pushes in as the precip field explodes. I'd put money on 30-40 miles north of myself on the Jersey Coast getting absolutely crushed. Not sure why anyone East of the city is jumping.
  22. dseagull
    Yes, but positioning Is always primary.
  23. dseagull
    Within this envelope, it isnt about the globals. The >36hr point can be debated (for any given year, statistically.) This storm looks great with presentation. Unfortunately, every product I use is lagging.
  24. dseagull
    If anything, the H5s look held back, I'm not trusting the Euro inside of 8 hours. This looks good. Gonna head out and enjoy the calm before the storm. It's going to EXPLODE . Nothing...has changed. Still on course.
  25. dseagull
    Not convinced of any global shorts... This is eerily similar to the 2018 setup. Baking in the sun here on BB in ocean county, nj. Waiting for feedback result error. This system was always going to be a nowcast. Everything looks the same to me still. Going to look through and see what changed, but it still looks almost perfect for coastal and 20 mile differentials for banding. This coastal is about to explode.
×
×
  • Create New...