Jump to content

dseagull

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    577

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by dseagull

  1. dseagull
    Waretown, temps actually climbing back up to 384 from 37.1 90 minutes ago on the button. Wet flakes and wet ground. Probably see the southern side of accumulating snow. Fully expect accumulation to begin somewhere between 4AM and 5AM. Should get a slushy inch to 1.5 inches by the time it tapers off around 9AM. Looking at the evolution of short range guidance, seems like Deptford NJ through Central Monmouth, through Islip, should be the winners. Im not seeing the predicted cold pushing down quickly enough to make the most of QPF. Would be happy to be wrong, but several decades of experience says otherwise.
  2. dseagull
    Enjoy. Warmer and lackluster down here in waretown.
  3. dseagull
    We certainly live in a different time. Had a banner striper season ourselves, but took a licking on many days. They closed BFT down insanely fast, but we continued to fight, tag, revive, and release. Had an insane morning do so today. Put a 3 man limit of tog together on the way in, and still have bass rolling all over the surface beyond the 3 mile line on herring, sand eels, and cupcake size bunker. Things are definitely on the downturn with some fisheries though. Bay Bay fluking, stellar, but not consistent. Anyway, back to weather. Gonna be a long winter. Pulling the big boat on Thursday. Hope all has been well.
  4. dseagull
    ...and just like that, the wind is now at 265 degrees and temp down to 39. 4 degrees in 20 minutes.
  5. dseagull
    Cant ask for much more in terms of early season snowfall on the coast. Had 37 degree water temps inside the inlet. 42 one mile off, and 48 seventeen miles off where we were fishing. Friends that went deep dropping in the Tom's Canyon earlier in the week still touched 58-60 in several spots. Grateful this isnt an onshore wind setup, with the early season warm (relatively) warm water. Hope everyone gets to enjoy, and get some pictures with the snow and christmas lights/decorations.
  6. dseagull
    Have no reason to BS anyone. That was at 1245. It is still at this moment 43. I never trust my vehicle for accuracy unless my marina office weatherflow and my handheld are the same. It got very warm this afternoon with the SW'erlies. Need wind to swing.
  7. dseagull
    BALMY 48 back bay barnegat, NJ. Sweating in my hoodie working on my boat. Doesn't feel like snow.
  8. dseagull
    Duration under gradient. Thankfully, neap tides. Its bad, but ive been here for many decades, my entire life. I still havd visual tide guages from 40 years ago. Id love to blame my areas back bay flooding on sea level rise, but thats not the case. There have been tremendous man-made changes to the inlet and surrounding areas that are almost certainly responsible. To each their own.
  9. dseagull
    It's been a F'n day.... will share pictures tomorrow of what really happened on Barnegat Bay. It was a good one....
  10. dseagull
    And like I thought, boats are breaking free and sinking. This storm may not break any records or be remembered for long, but a significant amount of damage was done, considering tens of thousands of boats were still in the water.
  11. dseagull
    Ill fix my post.... I understand its a gradient squeeze. Trust me, I do. Apologies, im about to watch many neighborhoods get exceptionally wet here, as this system doesnt necessarily deepen, but the net results worsen. If I didnt look at the surface map you posted, id describe an incredibly different situation.
  12. dseagull
    I am a bit of a radiohead. I have 3 scanners going with trunked talk groups on custom settings. All of ocean county towns have too many calls for me to keep up with. Trees falling and lines arching are the most frequent. This thing is NOT bombing out (thanks, Omega,) but the net results of the gradient squeeze are impressive. Updated to reflect reality of surface maps, dated or not.
  13. dseagull
    VID_20251012_210615.mp4
  14. dseagull
    Low tide, video above.
  15. dseagull
    VID_20251012_211458.mp4
  16. dseagull
    Ill make the claim now.... this is going to overperform on the mainland of barnegat bay. We have very strong sustained winds with frequent gusts over 50 now. The water began rising before low tide was reached, and its going to be a long night ahead until the 4AM high tide. Many boats will likely succumb to this storm, sadly... Then, my work begins. Brutal.
  17. dseagull
    Of course I do, and tog into January. But im more or less off the water for both jobs from mid January until mid March.
  18. dseagull
    Yup, thats a large part of it. In any case, a low to mid range moderate event would be a blessing for those of us on the water. One less headache to deal with. Im ready for winter and my 2 months off of work.
  19. dseagull
    Winds have actually relaxed somewhat here. I expected a higher push than we have recieved for this approaching high tide. Beginning to think that this storm may not break the 2.67 we received on August 21st, when Erin passed by farrrrr offshore.
  20. dseagull
    Thanks. Im directly behind Barnegat Inlet in waretown, on the Bayfront. The last squall that came through dropped heavy rain and we had several gusts over 45. I imagine Harvey Cedars highest gust may increase shortly. Somebody certainly will have 60-65 soon. The water level chart is what most of us on the water will have our eyes glued to over the next 36 hours.
  21. dseagull
    They are "professionals," but I still try to keep people like this at arm's length. Hey, it's a free country, but I cant promise my response will be timely if they find themselves in a precarious/dangerous situation.
  22. dseagull
    3 hours til high tide on my part of barnegat bay. Lower roads are already all caving quickly. This may overperform. Im getting consistent gusts to 45 now in this band. If this intensity is consistent until tomorrow's high around 4PM, we may have significant flooding damage in the 2nd flood zone tier for our town. This would affect nearly 400 homes that were not raised after Sandy.
  23. dseagull
    We definitely had some good wind for a bit. For reference, im exactly 4.56 miles as the crow flies across the bay. So far, tidal departures not very impressive. Quarter moon REALLY helps us. Will post conditions reports shortly after breakfast. Gotta beat the rain for a long dog walk. Next high tide here, 1515.
  24. dseagull
    Fear porn sells.
  25. dseagull
    NWS has dialed back my predicted coastal flooding. Slowly, we look to be headed from major to moderate instead. Living on the water, 4-8 inches can mean the difference between insane amounts of water damage or just a PIA cleanup.
×
×
  • Create New...