gopper

Last few frames of the radar look promising for places to the east the mountains

Roughly a half inch. Too much melting! Looks nice though!

Yea, the more small events, the better opportunity for school closings/delays! And I am on the teacher side of the school systems. LOL! Love my snow days!!

2 inches? Really?

Is it time for radar hallucinations yet? Looking at radar about 20 minutes ago, it appeared that our show showers were going to be non-existent, now looks like they may have some life! Going to be fun watching radar this morning!

back to moderate snow in Towson after a lul. Looks like this final band has really consolidated...hope it has not lost its punch. Would like to see an inch out of the final band.

Have not really noticed any wind at all. I am sure aloft there is a lot of movement, but at the surface it is pretty calm at the moment. Guessing the wind comes in tomorrow with the secondary front.

nice steady moderate snow in Towson. Starting to stick to road surfaces. BCPS let schools out 3 hours early...now, can we get them to close tomorrow? Probably not, but a 2 hour delay would be nice.

very light snow in Towson

cae, excellent post analysis. You obviously put a good deal of time into collecting all of the map comparisons! Always interesting to see which models are picking up on certain aspects of a storm. Thank You!

BWI?

Can you give me the link to this radar?

So far, this prediction has been spot on! Lots of west tracks and lake cutters. Still hoping that we can turn things around for the last part of winter!

Would hate it if that ever happened.....You retiring from tracking weather, that is.

showmethesnow, Thank you for your always insightful posts! You have a natural way of explaining things in terms that the novice can understand and you show picures with your explanation that makes it even more helpful! You also intertwine positivity with reality very well! Keep up the great work!! Can you explain why the operational GFS is not currently picking up on any snowy scenarios out towards Christmas? Is this just the case of one operational run won't show the big picture and we need to focus on the ensembles at this point?

Thank you for the explanation. How large can Soft Hail get? I know the little styrofoam-like graupel pellets, but can soft hail get large like regular hail?

What is soft hail?

Okay, here is my "real" guess. Thinking we will see several events like today....mixy with more north and west. Also low balling SBY because they got their fill of snow last year. Would love to go super big with all of the good signs this year so far, but am fearful of the fact that even when the stars align, it can be hard to get snow around here. Hope reality is much higher than my predictions. BWI: 28.8" DCA: 17.7" IAD: 33.3" RIC: 15.5" SBY: 9.9"

waiting for the right moment Still reading the tea leaves.

BWI: 100" DCA: 0" IAD: 120" RIC: 0" SBY: 0"

BWI: 0.0" DCA: 0.0" IAD: 0.0" RIC: 0.0" Tiebreaker: SBY: 0.0"

DCA: 12/5 BWI: 11/22 IAD: 11/12 RIC: 11/27 TB: 4.00