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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    45% non-hatched wind threat up to MI/IN
  2. Chinook
    As I mentioned before, I think the CIPS web site was down for quite some time last year, but it is back. The top analogs for tomorrow night have some severe reports. This highlighted one was a worse analog. It's Mar 1, 2017, with a 1000-storm report day (Midwest sector analogs) if you choose the southeast/south central zone in CIPS, then the computations are different, with Mar 31, 2016 being a good analog, high storm report analog day
  3. Chinook
    double hail cores
  4. Chinook
    HRRR got a little excited for NW Ohio here. Still, though, the convection allowing models aren't too great for a 42 hour forecast
  5. Chinook
    My place had thunder at 1:00, with moderate rain.
  6. Chinook
    I guess it can't be 70 every day when there's 1"-2" of rain... or snow
  7. Chinook
    this is a range-height cross section of a large hailstorm (supercell) in Mississippi last night. There is an overhang of the huge reflectivity, indicating a large updraft, since it was a supercell. I am doing this because I re-downloaded the GRLevel2AE 21-day trial. (again) and I might as well post something from the 3D capabilities. (I probably won't pay for GRLevel2AE)
  8. Chinook
    It has been windier than average, near me. This reanalysis plot shows that the 925mb wind was 4m/s (8 knots) higher than average. The 925mb winds usually mix to the surface in the daytime/afternoon, so that's a good indicator that the surface wind has been 4-8 knots above average. I don't know if any particular data-system uses the NWS monthly climate-F6 data to find out abnormal wind speeds. (I've never heard of a calculation like that.)
  9. Chinook
    "It's really beautiful around sunset. The methane emissions really pick up the colors." -- Jim Carrey, The Mask.
  10. Chinook
    The Dust Bowl coincided with too many La Nina/neutral winters, By my inexact calculations, a double El Nino helped finally wetten up the central part of the country before WWII. And then of course they changed the farming practices and planted trees for windbreaks. By the way, the last storm (March 20th) picked up dirt from the Plains and deposited it on my car through the light rain.
  11. Chinook
    This is the first time since 1997 that two F-4/EF-4 tornadoes were in Arkansas on the same day.
  12. Chinook
    so, any real tornadoes near Flossmoor/Chicago Heights or east of them?
  13. Chinook
    near Charleston/Oakland IL
  14. Chinook
  15. Chinook
    heavy snow recently in Wyoming, and other places out west
  16. Chinook
    tried to get another BWER on radar by the possible Oakland Illinois tornado
  17. Chinook
    My attempt to cut through the storm near the tornado(es)/gustnado(es)
  18. Chinook
    the BWER "hole in the storm"
  19. Chinook
    storm chasers see tornado at Mackinaw, Illinois
  20. Chinook
    it is a tornado warning near Deevlan, just after this
  21. Chinook
    this might be the next tornado warning at Delevan, Illinois
  22. Chinook
    888 toll-free phone number 211- community assistance phone number tornadoes/warnings
  23. Chinook
    multiple tornado warnings
  24. Chinook
    there were a lot of local storm reports (48hrs total reports)
  25. Chinook
    when there's a 110-kt contour on the shear, and you have convection
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