Chinook

The ECMWF has mostly light rain for you guys but the GFS and Canadian have snow and 37 in the daytime this week. It's getting a bit late in the year for snow in the daytime.

The NAM/GFS have a nor'easter for Nova Scotia- snow in May? I've seen it. At sea level? That's really pretty darn cold for sea level.

Recent rainfall and snowfall for you guys in Colorado. NWS snowfall analysis says it snowed above 6000-7000ft. The Rocky Mountain national park views have some snow visible above 11000ft today. Frisco/Breckenridge had some snow in town.

The recent CPC says there is about a 20% chance of a super El Nino for the winter (Nov-Jan). It's at the end of their forecast graphics. So how's a super El Nino for getting rid of the drought? Pretty good chance to have large rainfall in the southern USA. Things have not gone well for the West and Southeast, two huge parts our country.

That elevated storm had a very high reflectivity seen by KFWS, and 2.5" hail in town. Now, just two warnings in Texas.

radar from over an hour ago at Mineral Wells, TX

They say this is Mineral Wells TX

2.75" and 4.5" hail reports with this storm west of Cleburne

large tornado possibly on the ground

by the way, this large hail storm was right at Springfield MO

dangerous supercells near Fort Worth

Looking back to April 27, 2011

New storms starting out in almost the exact place east of Wichita Falls TX as a few days ago

This is starting to look like a large amount of supercells getting going tomorrow. In the Convective Chronicles Youtube channel, Trey mentioned that tomorrow will fits the Omega Project definition of a fast-moving 500mb jet streak going into a zone of potential tornadoes (Broyles Et. Al.)

some damage at Runaway Bay