Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Don't know about anybody else, but...I ain't eatin' that cake until the Euro comes out and it looks better, lol
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Don't drink yet...still got the Euro to get through, lol
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I'd imagine the current meltdown may have been caused more by the 0z Euro...
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Yeah seriously...this is ridiculous. 12z tomorrow might be big...Can you imagine? If the euro were to tick the wrong way tomorrow...I'd imagine that throws the entire forecast off, right? And what would happen with the transfer? Unless it's the nightmare scenario of it not happening at all and the primary (or whichever it is) escaping. Let's hope we see a better trend tomorrow, because I'm telling ya...we're so close!
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Good sir I hope your hunch is correct! Euro has some of us worried about a southern miss/fringe, lol But do you see that as correcting itself as we get closer?
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Man if we end up smoking cirrus from this...smh I mean how does the confluence get stronger and stronger and stronger? When will it stop? When the WAA snowfall is all the way down in dang NC, and we're stuck with flurries? Smh I hope we have better corrections tomorrow.
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Man I hope the Euro shifts right. It being right about yesterday when the rest of guidance wasn't has me nervous, dude...especially with the suppressive theme of the whole month. But hopefully tomorrow brings a better shift...
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I guess I'm nervous because the euro was the only one that got yesterday's suppressed storm track right. Wondering if we start seeing the other models get more and more suppressed...maybe that's my fears talking, lol
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But seriously though...how far south is this gonna go?? I mean one or two more ticks south and I'm even fringed, smh
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I'll be satisfied with no missed transfer from suppression...that's all I wanna see tonight, lol
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Except it expanded even to Baltimore, lol Good gloppity!!
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I'd think a more southern outcome should make us all sweat a little bit...since psu dropped that bit about an outside chance it gets too far south and misses the transfer. @psuhoffman correct me if I interpreted that wrong.
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So now hang on...we gonna have a model camp we're concerned about a late transfer on one end, and suppression/missed transfer on the other? Lol Fun times
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So sorry to hear about that...prayers for his friend's family
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So what's the point south where if it gets pushed there it misses the transfer?
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But that would result in half the forum failing to hit the warning mark (5") that to me would be a huge bust...because all this time the coastal has been a bit trickier of a question, but the front end seemed more sure. But to be in danger of not gettimg that AND missing the coastal? Brtual...hope it's just a blip.
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Making me nervous for 0z dude...It would be a fail of spectacular proportions (but one you warned was the main fail scenario: suppression). That's how some would get blanked, and others wouldn't get warning criteria. I hope it doesn't trend south again tonight.
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I'm at the point where I'm all in on the WAA part...but the coastal part? Still a tad cautious just because (probably because it's a Miller B, and how tricky those can be, and how we've been burned in the past) So that part of the storm I need another 24-36 hours of great runs before I'm comfortable, lol
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Is he a snowlover too? Awesome! Mike Frozen Trout!
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Could you elaborate a bit more on what occlusion is? (unless it's what you just explained, lol)
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Fixed And we would certainly be entering February with a bang if this weekend goes as modeled!! Seriously...this weekend producing and a rockin' February is what we need in the worst way after the past 4-5 years. That would be a heck of a way to break the warning-snow drought! -
Fully expecting to see a 24-30" NAMing somewhere...lol
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Wait, what are you talking about? I was...just voicing my support for the two pbp's when mappy asked just one or two to PBP. No run opinions offered...I don't do those, I just read
