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ShawnEastTN

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  1. ShawnEastTN
    What's hard for me is usually this is the window I trust the RGEM the most, right around the 48 hour window, I don't know I trust it with this storm. Either it has lost its way over the years in the 48 hour window or it's going to score a big coup. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  2. ShawnEastTN
    MRX mentioned in their afternoon disco that scattered snow showers would continue across the northern half of the area through the evening. I guess a mix of upslope and just moisture wringing. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  3. ShawnEastTN
    Snowing in West Knox also. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  4. ShawnEastTN
    Since my temp started falling the wind has also really picked up in a big way. Raining leaves occasionally from out of the woods around my house. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  5. ShawnEastTN
    My temp has finally began falling, fell from 60 to 54 over the last 30 minutes IMBY. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  6. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah I'm just across the river from Spring City and usually once I see Crossville temp start falling it doesn't take long, but waiting for Crossville to fall seems like it takes forever sometimes.. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  7. ShawnEastTN
    Generally takes longer for it to come up the western escarpment than it does for it to spill into the Great Valley. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  8. ShawnEastTN
    Has began raining in Roane County, Kingston to be more specific. Find that interesting since MRX mentioned it would take time to saturate due to dry air. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  9. ShawnEastTN
    But what if it's 2 hours early... [emoji2962][emoji2956][emoji2962] Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  10. ShawnEastTN
    I think the models are anticipating the cold air to advect faster than we normally see and catching up to the heavier precip before it's done not just the super light stuff that would normally just be sprinkles behind the front. What MRX is counting on is that the cold air doesn't advect fast which is typical climo for these, also accounting for snow melting when it hits the ground as it begins as well. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  11. ShawnEastTN
    Good catch, I generally try to temper enthusiasm for anafrontal snow, we all know the vast majority of these don't perform at all for us, but there are a couple things going for the forum that help a bit in my opinion, first the strength of the cold and that massive massive High behind the front, and second the time of the day being after dark we don't have the sun to work against us. Think among anafrontal potentials over the years this one has among the highest odds to over perform. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  12. ShawnEastTN
    I wonder if we'll see an uptick in amounts from MRX from the overnight shift. Used to be for the longest time the overnight shift was a bit more liberal in their forecasts than the day shifts. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  13. ShawnEastTN
    Namtastic!!! Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  14. ShawnEastTN
    12z Euro has the Thursday storm. Looks interesting on the Euro. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  15. ShawnEastTN
    18Z NAM at 84 has pretty robust precip in the Midwest for the system... But it's the NAM at 84... Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  16. ShawnEastTN
    Little interested in that gulf system now being advertised Thursday... Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  17. ShawnEastTN
    OHX Facebook post.... Ha ha ha. Old Hickory is on a roll!![emoji12] Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  18. ShawnEastTN
    I'll take what the Euro is selling... Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  19. ShawnEastTN
    Euro qpf looks night and day from previous run though only out to hour 126, it's an impressive change in qpf. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  20. ShawnEastTN
    Canadian looks like it's moving toward the Euro. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  21. ShawnEastTN
    Agree usually this scenario is cold chasing rain where you might see a few flakes for a few minutes before the moisture moves out. Still fun to watch, I'll be really impressed if the Euro joins or moves in the direction of the GFS until then just fun watch especially considering how early in the season it is. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  22. ShawnEastTN
    Man... Wish I could just trust the GFS... 12z looks nice! Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  23. ShawnEastTN
    12z Euro seems to want a bit of moisture stretched along that boundary at hours 168 and 174, but not the monster the CMC is depicting. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  24. ShawnEastTN
    I'll take what the crazy canuck is selling! Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  25. ShawnEastTN
    My point forecast from Morristown now includes rain & snow showers Thursday night, and slight chance snow showers Friday morning. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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