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ShawnEastTN

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Everything posted by ShawnEastTN

  1. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah it's awesome to see blowing snow don't see it often here at all. I ended about 3.5" well I say ended but it is still snowing lightly.
  2. ShawnEastTN
    Heaviest I've had yet, mostly big flakes at the moment. I'm really surprised because I thought I might miss the edge of the snow almost completely. If it does this all night I'm going to bust big. I'm already passed forecast amount. Approaching warning criteria.
  3. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah I've been getting quarters mixed with smaller flakes. Then an occasional wind gust blows clouds of blowing snow off my roof and it swirls around. I'm at about 2 inches now which was the high end of my MRX forecast.
  4. ShawnEastTN
    It is coming down, I've definitely crossed into heavy snow, I live on a state highway and it's now fully snow covered for the first time since it started, though its also 22 degrees which definitely helps.
  5. ShawnEastTN
    That band appears to disappear as to extends to the south, but I can assume that it goes further south than the radar shows, as the snow has picked up a pretty good tick. Visibility is much lower the snow is very fine but coming down at a good clip, wind whipping it around at times makes it look even more impressive. This feels like this storm is going to really over produce. I reached about an inch total from just the frontal passage snow, and now it's picking up, heaviest it's been since it started.
  6. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah that's kind of what I anticipate is a lull until around 2-3 when snow fills back in and then hangs around. Hangs around longer the further east you are. For most all of this is really bonus snow.
  7. ShawnEastTN
    For me snow has increased a bit from flurries back to the lighter end of light snow. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
  8. ShawnEastTN
    The ULL snows haven't begun yet, this was just bonus snow from the frontal passage. I expect several hour lull, with just flurries.
  9. ShawnEastTN
    Yep and I love heavy snow, but I'm also never opposed to a long duration lighter snowfall either.
  10. ShawnEastTN
    Dang I thought it over performed with my nearly half inch!
  11. ShawnEastTN
    Also this Arctic front has all on its own over performed from what most models seemed to show. I expect we'll have a bit of a lull with maybe just flurries after this initial fropa before the actual ULL snows start up.
  12. ShawnEastTN
    Got a nice dusting now, very wind blown snow. If get any appreciable snow I could see there being drifts.
  13. ShawnEastTN
    Seeing my first flurries on the Roane/Meigs line, air still very dry but it's starting to overcome.
  14. ShawnEastTN
    Seeing my first flurries near the Roane/Meigs line.
  15. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah thought about that only after I posted it.
  16. ShawnEastTN
    I'd take my ~4" and call it a day
  17. ShawnEastTN
    Ahh didn't catch that!
  18. ShawnEastTN
    MRX just added Meigs, Rhea and Bledsoe to the advisory, and OHX just added several plateau counties all the way back to Putnam county.
  19. ShawnEastTN
    I think it was 2014 or 2015, but there was a storm very similar to this one that happened in February followed by an ice storm like 4 days later (central valley). I remember the storm really well because MRX forecast 1-2" south of 40 and east of the plateau, and forecast 2-4" north of 40, and mountains 6". This was their forecast 24 hours before. The next day they bumped everyone by an inch or so, then the storm began. It kept snowing and snowing high ratio snows they kept increasing the forecast through the evening even bumping folks in advisory up to warning. After all was said and done Chattanooga north across the whole great valley and western plateau got around 10". It was a near carbon copy storm track and type. These storms have high potential to bust high.
  20. ShawnEastTN
    Me too, I loved watching the weather channel as a kid, my family always thought that it was strange.
  21. ShawnEastTN
    That's awesome very nostalgic.
  22. ShawnEastTN
    Yes!!!! Back way back (im old) these type storms used to almost destroy the SouthEast AccuWeather forum. People on either side rooting for it to trend there way and having complete mental breakdowns when it trended west or east and they got the shaft. Though it seemed more times than not they tended to trend NW each day a little bit all the way up to the storm breaking a lot of especially south Carolina hearts but making a lot of East Tennesseeans happy. Those were the good old days before American WX.
  23. ShawnEastTN
    This looks reasonable to this type of setup, with very clean lines on the synoptic snow, that outside the highest peaks no real terrain favor, nice mostly clean lines north to south.
  24. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah some have shown that while others show a weird abrupt line in the valley but then show plateau with accumulations, which from most experiences with this type of setup doesn't usually happen that way, it's usually a near perfect line north to south or NE to SW somewhere in East or middle Tennessee from the state's northern border to southern border where everyone East of that near Perfect line regardless of elevation gets snow and west of regardless of elevation get nothing. A true have and have nots scenario that elevation does not generally influence.
  25. ShawnEastTN
    One thing I will add to this conversation is that from years of these storm types and tracks the the line between the haves and have nots is usually very abrupt. I've seen where I am located which is just about 8 miles from the Eastern Escarpment of the plateau get several inches of snow and it snow for hours but 8 miles away on the plateau itself dusting or nothing at all. Track really matters and the line will likely be much more sharp than many model output snow maps show.
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