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About high risk

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KBWI
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Gender
Male
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Location:
North Laurel, MD
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One thing that makes it so difficult to even distribute summer rain here in the east is the inability to have nighttime MCC events. Over the Plains, you can easily put down 1-2" over a large area with one of those systems, but we so rarely get EMLs here that MCCs can't survive the trip east.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The rare Day 7 SPC outlook for our area!- 1,010 replies
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Yeah, towers went up along the northward-moving boundary but failed. Something is hostile to development, as shown by the complete collapse of the storms moving south out of PA
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Maybe, but right now, I’m going to need some convincing that WPC was justified in issuing an MPD for our area
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Visually from Howard County, cells are trying to go up on that outflow boundary moving north out of DC
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This has all of the makings of a "pity MD" day.- 1,010 replies
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And south and north too.
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Some signal in guidance for a few late night / early morning cells, with higher chances to the east.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think it's justified. Lapse rates and instability are modest, but shear is workable, and convection should be organized and timed well for our area. CAMs all look pretty good. Friday has some potential too.- 1,010 replies
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Not really sure where discussion of today's weather should go, but there is a clear consensus that today's rain/storm threat will primarily be an after dark show
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At a time when most storms are ramping down, the cell near Manassas exploded, seemingly aided by a cell merger. Major downburst signal.
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Initiation ahead of schedule in the local area. Expecting an MD from SPC soon.
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Yeah, the HRRR develops storms in that general vicinity. NAM Nest develops convection over northern VA
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They evolve differently, but the HRRR and NAM Nest both like the I-95 corridor in MD around or just after sunset.
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If today happens, it's going to be a late show.
