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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. Seems like a mixture of huge hits and whiffs. I wonder if the huge hits mix though.
  2. The GFS is garbage so certainly taking it with a grain of salt but CMC being too amped is also something it likes to do. Just show me the Euro
  3. Would like to see the qpf start creeping up now. 1.2ish during a 30 hour snowstorm. It’s cool but our greats would have twice that in 30 hrs, maybe even more lol.
  4. Yep, this is what we want to continue to trend toward. Maybe throw in a stall off OCMD for fun.
  5. Need to get the Tennessee to Myrtle or OBX transfer
  6. Getting that coastal low to crank and slow down and getting deformed is what we need to reach that HECS level.
  7. Meh, looks like at most a few tenths more than some of the other models. It’s not like it’s 2 plus inches. Trading a mix for a couple tenths of precip and lower ratio seems like a poor trade, but I am sure more adjustments are to come.
  8. Nice. I love where we sit right now with heaviest totals in South Central VA. We all know that will end up this way.
  9. Yeah I don’t think there is as much after 144 as many of you think if you look at this. It’s not like it’s climbing the coast and stalling out or something.
  10. This would have been a nice little event if overnight temps had cooperated.
  11. Looks like it’s winding down. Too bad. Nice little light snow sticking to everything would have been great through the evening.
  12. Honestly, the little super light snow is more than I expected with Round 2. Enough for a light dusting so far, and with temps dropping and sun going down, some colder parts of sidewalks and driveways caving.
  13. This precip distribution looks a lot like…….I’m not going to say it.
  14. Big bust here. Nothing even on the grass. All hail the NAM. Can’t believe they are dumping it. It’s more useful than the GFS.
  15. Riding with Ellinwood. He’s conservative usually and his maps are almost always spot on.
  16. It died right on the doorstep. Seen that happen so many times the past six years. Wondering if maybe I am just a few miles too far east to get that Hoco Moco death and that often sets up.
  17. Gonna miss that heavy band by mere miles. Story of the last decade.
  18. NAM is a better model than GFS at this point. They are decommissioning the wrong one.
  19. Your posts are spot on. No one seems to want to hear the facts. That said, I am still waiting to shovel all of this snow from this chart. Pretty sure e28 was what I got.
  20. PSU being MIA is/should have been a major tell.
  21. All the talk about a “workable” pattern gives me the same vibes as the sign when you get off 495 to jump in Route 1 South that states PG County: A “ liveable” community. Congrats, you could survive here and it wouldn’t be awful. Sign me up.
  22. FWIW, Euro was poor with the placement of snow Wednesday morning. Had it too far west.
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