osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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I’ll admit I'm annoyed areas northeast of us are now the hammer zone, but that’s probably being pumped up by outlier models.
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No doubt. Praying it is right but I know better. Just have to hope the Euro is wrong with the warm nose. Hopefully, the NAM can help us figuring TThat out as we get closer.
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Yeah, I mean the trends today have obviously not been great but we are still three full days from onset and new data will feed into the models tonight. It’s also clear that none of them seem to have all the pieces exactly figured out yet. I can’t imagine folks coming this far and throwing in the towel already.
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Sure, maybe it’s about to lead the way for the first time ever and technically it’s another piece of guidance, but no one ever even used to post this model back in the day and I have always thought it was just posted something to look at after the NAM while we wait for the GFS. I never take it seriously.
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Just a hunch but the steady as can be and top rated Euro AI is probably not caving to the awful Icon. Speaking of great models, let’s see what the GFS cooks up this run.
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Ha, we actually did get less than Chicago that run. Good thing it’s the Icon.
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Can someone smarter than me explain why the transfer to the coast isn’t happening sooner like we see in our HECS? You have blocking/50-50 low plus a strong arctic high. Doesn’t add up to me.
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Seems like a mixture of huge hits and whiffs. I wonder if the huge hits mix though.
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The GFS is garbage so certainly taking it with a grain of salt but CMC being too amped is also something it likes to do. Just show me the Euro
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Would like to see the qpf start creeping up now. 1.2ish during a 30 hour snowstorm. It’s cool but our greats would have twice that in 30 hrs, maybe even more lol.
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Yep, this is what we want to continue to trend toward. Maybe throw in a stall off OCMD for fun.
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Need to get the Tennessee to Myrtle or OBX transfer
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Getting that coastal low to crank and slow down and getting deformed is what we need to reach that HECS level.
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Meh, looks like at most a few tenths more than some of the other models. It’s not like it’s 2 plus inches. Trading a mix for a couple tenths of precip and lower ratio seems like a poor trade, but I am sure more adjustments are to come.
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Nice. I love where we sit right now with heaviest totals in South Central VA. We all know that will end up this way.
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Yeah I don’t think there is as much after 144 as many of you think if you look at this. It’s not like it’s climbing the coast and stalling out or something.
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Where do we sign up for that?
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Lol that one is probably the best one!
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My God, that’s 2016’s music!
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This would have been a nice little event if overnight temps had cooperated.
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Looks like it’s winding down. Too bad. Nice little light snow sticking to everything would have been great through the evening.
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Honestly, the little super light snow is more than I expected with Round 2. Enough for a light dusting so far, and with temps dropping and sun going down, some colder parts of sidewalks and driveways caving.
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This precip distribution looks a lot like…….I’m not going to say it.
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Big bust here. Nothing even on the grass. All hail the NAM. Can’t believe they are dumping it. It’s more useful than the GFS.
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Riding with Ellinwood. He’s conservative usually and his maps are almost always spot on.
