jbenedet

Nice warm sector. Tanning in overcast with dew in the 40’s. Weenie rage. How is my weather ? Very similar to what’s in your back yard as it should be. 60’s and mostly cloudy—the sensible weather is quite similar for the two of us, being we’re both outside of the warm sector.

Where’s @weatherwiz This looks like a good one for him— for a short trip, that is...

Surprised SPC unenthused with severe risk in Eastern PA, Southwest CT, down to NYC, NJ.

Coming from zero-accountability, zero-credibility guy. At least we can zero in on on a few terrible forecasts from me. And you? Where do we start.?

Kevin in Troll-land: Sunday: “Days and days of high dews and heat incoming folks.” Monday: “85F on Wednesday” Tuesday: “80F on Wednesday” Wednesday: “Warm sector today” Getting there buddy... ...And the rest of the week Kevin?

Tolland CT to be one of the worst places to be tomorrow—area-wide—sensible weather wise.

Tomorrow looks like a classic case—Danbury CT down to NYC tickle 80. New Haven sniffs the warm front for a few hrs maybe before the backdoor slams through again. And the rest of CT is on the wrong side of the door all day. It’s near 80 or near 60. Either way, Kevin will be yelling “dews” and stein” while he and Hartford are stuck on the wrong side all day.

It’s raining in Dover now. So surely you’re raining as well. Radar looks good for a 3 hr drink—backbuilding to our west

Sure. But don’t get it twisted. Population distribution matters more than geographical area. That’s here; that’s everywhere. Many more people live in the region getting rain today. Boston is getting a good drink too.

That isn’t details guy. The pattern strongly favors wet. Period.

It is mid spring. The jet is over our head just about every day through 384 hrs on the GFS. MJO phase 1. -NAO with an active pacific means most disturbances will traverse our region. It’s going to rain. A lot.

What’s the opposite of stein? Because the current pattern is just that— the most active and wet we have seen since last fall.

Today we Tomorrow

The pacific is killing the remaining few opportunities at record cold/snowfall. But it looks more like we’re trading New England in March for Ireland in May. It’s progress. But far from the pattern we hope for this time of year...Great for growing though...

MJO phase 8. Significant and persistent —NAO. Must be mid April.

Depends on where you are, specifically. ASH, MHT did hit 60 yesterday. Even DAW managed 58. Not a bad day at all. Today and tomorrow look great actually... So far, my neck of the woods is likely running slightly AN for the month of April.

Today looks like a over-performer temp wise. I think 60 is doable around here.

All rain in Dover NH 38. Not even a mangled flake. 50/50 rain/snow into Rochester NH, 36F. Everything greening up around here.

A lot of snow reaching the ground. How much accumulating...? Accumulation rate vs melting rate. Seems it would be easy enough to model this...but we’re left to guessing. I see temps broadly at surface 34-36 even at the height of it... This is why NWS snowfall forecast maps and model qpf is still world’s apart at go time.

Thursday/Friday going to soak all of us. I’m thinking I’ll be measuring rain in inches in my backyard. Berks/southern greens west snow chances. Still thinking northwest Jersey, northeast PA up to Albany is the most interesting for snow Thursday night.

The Thursday/Friday wintry appeal is a northern mid Atlantic and Upstate NY story. Everyone talking persistence but forgetting this aspect of it? SNE low levels flooded with April Atlantic air... At the same time, Bangor ME will be near 60...

To be sure, conditions well north of the BD can be quite pleasant this time of the year, as we move into mid April. Probably stating the obvious but it’s the vicinity where these stall/meander that we all should fear and that looks like the Northern Mid Atlantic. If this was a month ago, it would be quite a different story—a classic case of “what a difference a month makes”. Monday to Wed will probably register near normal and nice by early spring standards for most; with better weather—relative to climo— north/east.

Saturday looks great. Then nasty back door through Sunday morning. This will push into mid Atlantic subsequent days. Better weather in subforum further north/east, Monday through Wednesday.

Planted first pods into the garden beds this morning. Started these 9 days ago, but Peas and green beans couldn’t wait anymore. Thinking nights will stay mid to upper 30’s + from here on out. This next month could be great for growing if the nights cooperate as I expect....

I have worked in US manufacturing for over 10 years — over half of those years were spent in quality control, pharma R&D and performing high level quality investigations at a top biologics manufacturer. It goes without saying that all vaccines are not equal. This joke is on you. Cheers.