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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. Thunderstorms and southwest winds before 18z on April 3 don’t fit the mold of sunrise to sunset mank. Clearing starts solidy once these t-showed roll through. Can see the sky clearing in Albany and southern VT with the drying air mixing in. It’s coming.
  2. The NAM guidance which is usually the most bearish —and correct—on setups like this continues to show sky clearing 18z. It’s not going to be everywhere but do think it materializes imby.
  3. Today will turn out to nice but it is a crap start for sure.
  4. I’d also argue 65/25 is worse than 45/40. In the former case the landscape senses the freezing risk at night…
  5. Like coastal wx never seen a picture of Ireland before.
  6. No you need persistent dews. 35+ that’s it.
  7. It’s overcast everywhere NOP. And no where in NNE will be in 70’s today. Have to be SOP for 70+
  8. Even this shit lawns look good in April and early May. Not for the heat and dry but the persistent mank..
  9. If this a weekend or a holiday I’d feel that. Otherwise just want the green up to proceed faster which the mank is great for
  10. Yea but not gonna register BN with this morning heat…
  11. Mid week, with big Canadian surface high but it’s locked up north thanks to the mid level jet. Winds aren’t out of the north so should sell the severe cold anoms and just plan for low 40’s…
  12. I’m seeing the leaf buds on pretty much all species of trees around downtown here so looks like commitment is in for the early leaf out.
  13. Banking on some crap weather but also that the near freezing temps are bogus. expecting upper 30’s to low 40’s. I’m good as long as then greening up of the landscape can proceed.
  14. Finishing +3 in March is climbing out of a deep winter hole with -5 in Jan and February
  15. It’s 28 here already. I don’t radiate well…
  16. This is will be the most progressive exit and transition from winter to spring I’ve seen since living up here. The average winter conditions to annihilation of the pack in early March, and then last freeze March 29. Really nice. It’s remarkably easy to see, in that we’ve had no -NAO conditions forecasted or otherwise , and so it’s just the northern jet migrating subtly north due to the seasonal tide of the increasing sun angle…
  17. The colors and shades are the same here Tip. We need the freezing risk behind us. Our climo is really that doesn’t happen until end of April in seacoast NH. Once that last freeze is behind us, the green up is like a light switch though. I expect, this time, to coincide with the beginning of April.
  18. Yes. When you have a vegetable garden you remember this stuff pretty damn well. We’ve been having last freezes consistently in 2nd half of April. 20th ish…
  19. The early spring continues on track. It just doesn’t look or feel great because, well, it’s Mahch and early April in New England. The latest guidance looks like we’ll be about three weeks ahead of last year in terms of the green up. I don’t see one morning below freezing after this weekend, the 29th , in seacoast NH.
  20. Pretty much have to get through March before we can get persistent AN. That’s the guidance. Right around the first we’ll start seeing a shift to AN tendency.
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