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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Chris78
    A few lonely flurries on the drive from Smithsburg to Thurmont this morning.
  2. Chris78
    I'm hoping for 2 inches up here at the m/d line. Could see our area getting nothing but also could see how we could get a boom scenario.
  3. Chris78
    Not sure I've ever seen a gradient quite that Sharp. Frederick is basically nothing. Head down 270 about 15 mile and your pushing double digits. Just crazy
  4. Chris78
    Last night's rain was included in the 00z run. 12z is much better for Northern md
  5. Chris78
    I'd take anything at this point. My guess is I'm way to far NW to see anything from the Monday system.
  6. Chris78
    Not saying your wrong at all but I would say if the cold push isn't as strong then we could see it trend north. I know you know this but the cold push always seems weaker than modeled but we're getting kind of late in the game now for that. My guess is it doesn't trend apprcreiably north to effect areas from DC north but who knows.
  7. Chris78
    Always go with the model with the least amount of snow. I believe that's your rule right?
  8. Chris78
    The rgem is always a decent hit The Rgem is hitting something that's for sure
  9. Chris78
    Looks like everything else now
  10. Chris78
    Lol. The Rgem was a nice step in the right direction comparing it to its 18z run
  11. Chris78
    What did 12z look like at the same time stamp?
  12. Chris78
    Nice look at h5. Nudge it north a little and we're in business
  13. Chris78
    H5 has been improving on the gfs with each run today. Wish the euro would get on board
  14. Chris78
    Nice look on the GFS
  15. Chris78
    Looking at the 24 hr precip panels you can see the second wave of precip come up into the area. Not sure how pronounced the vort would be on the mean from a week out. Don't know if it's snow but there's definitely 2 shots of precip.
  16. Chris78
    Light snow/sleet combo in Thurmont MD
  17. Chris78
    Collinsworth is hard to listen to
  18. Chris78
    18z gefs has average to below average temps at 850 and 2m from about day 8 through the end of the run.
  19. Chris78
    That's awesome. Makes me want to travel to see snow. I would consider western Maryland area like deep creek or close to there but even out there has been awful so far.
  20. Chris78
    Gefs shows normal to below normal 850s and 2m temps with some waves running the boundary starting around the 3rd or 4th. Just talking in general at this range but there definitely seems to be a window of opportunity the first half of January. Hopefully we get several chances as it usually takes many tries for us to score 1.
  21. Chris78
    00z GEFS shows some potential beginning around the January 2nd. The mean has a low traversing the south and off the coast of the Carolinas with maybe some cold enough air around by that point.
  22. Chris78
    Unfortunately I agree. With the persistent pattern out west I think it's going to be pretty ugly for snow lovers. Just got to hope for some windows of opportunity and luck.
  23. Chris78
    I believe that would be a good thing
  24. Chris78
    I like the snow on top of snow the gfs has for Christmas and then 2 days later. We do snow on top of snow so we'll around these parts lol. In all seriousness though the gfs seems to be shifting the storm track south with the blocking setting up. Nice to see some chances showing up in the 8 to 10 day range.
  25. Chris78
    The Gefs through the end of the year is pretty dry
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