Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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I know it's dependant on the low track but damn when it's snowing in Atlanta. Come on. You would think we're getting smoked
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Where's WW with his percentage maps of the gefs? He's napping on his job
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Been is Smithsburg for over 20 years and yes for sure all those areas do really well. Usually Blue Ridge/ cascade is about 5 degrees cooler than me in Smithsburg.
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Ukmet looks in line with most other guidance now. 3 to 5 in the Balt/wash corridor. 6 to 12 to the west. Winchester crew will really like the UKMET
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Pretty unusual for the ensembles to have a higher snow output then the operational when focusing in on a particular time frame
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I really appreciate your concern for Hagerstown.
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I just hate the fact that some seem to get nasty when models aren't showing what they want for their yard. Most of us are here for the love of weather and more so love of snow. With as wide as our subforum is most of our storms are going to have winners and losers unfortunately, but I never ruin someone elses joy in here because I'm on the outside looking in.
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I noticed that on the 06z euro at 90. Seemed like it was weaker than the gfs and could of potentially yielded a better outcome for areas further east. It's dangerous to speculate sometimes but didn't look as amped as what the gfs is showing.
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Alot of nice hits in there. Alot of nice outcomes for areas further east also. Let's hope the Gfs is to amped and comes back to what most other guidance is showing right now.
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Exactly. What we need to root for is a bit different compared to the 95 corridor. I love to see a low hugging the coast line of the eastern sure. Now what the Gfs shows wouldn't be great for us. Probably several inches of snow followed by a driving rain which washes away most of what of had fallen. Hopefully it off by a 100 miles or so.
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Would put a huge deform through Central Pa
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Eps has more of a northeast movement it appears but the OP's definitely have more of a north to south look.
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That's about as perfect as spot as it gets for Northern MD and Central PA.
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Agreed. We do need the west trend to stop. We don't want this to trend so far west that it's congrats Detroit. Hard to come back from that as we get under 100 hours. Still plenty of time to adjust to a more favorable low location from where it's at now.
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Interested to see if the Euro follows suit with a UKMET solution. Years ago the UKMET used to foreshadow what the Euro was going to show but not sure that's the case anymore.
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Can anyone remember a storm track like were seeing on the globals. definitely not a track I can recall any recent previous storms taking. usually with that trajectory out of the Midwest it's congrats Carolinas.
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You rang....
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Still 12 degrees above 1500' up in the Catoctins of Northern Frederick county at 10am. Going to be a struggle to reach 20 today.
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Credit to @losetoa6 for posting this in the central PA forum but this would end up pretty good for us I do believe. Kind of builds off of what it showed at 12z.
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Great right up and explanation with illustrations! You put it much more eloquently than I did earlier this afternoon.
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The WFT at one point had 26 players in covid protocol
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We've got 4 days to get the trof axis moved 500 miles west. Edit : The longer it hangs around off the east coast anything else will get shredded to oblivion.
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Friday is a very long shot. Even if it gets close it has heartbreak - think boxing day storm written all over it. If that storm hangs around to the east of us for too long it will run interference and mess up the next couple of opportunities. Someone else could explain it more eloquently than me but we need that storm to get lost or move up into the 50/50 location to give room for the next storm to amplify.
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The trof axis is way to far east for our Lattitude. We need it to get out of the way or it's going to screw up the next few opportunities. If it's far enough west to hit New England it's going to screw us for later in the weekend.
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Mid-Atlantic winter 2021-22 snowfall contest
Chris78 replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hoping George pulls out the under dog Victory here.
