That's awesome. Makes me want to travel to see snow. I would consider western Maryland area like deep creek or close to there but even out there has been awful so far.
Gefs shows normal to below normal 850s and 2m temps with some waves running the boundary starting around the 3rd or 4th.
Just talking in general at this range but there definitely seems to be a window of opportunity the first half of January.
Hopefully we get several chances as it usually takes many tries for us to score 1.
00z GEFS shows some potential beginning around the January 2nd.
The mean has a low traversing the south and off the coast of the Carolinas with maybe some cold enough air around by that point.
Unfortunately I agree. With the persistent pattern out west I think it's going to be pretty ugly for snow lovers.
Just got to hope for some windows of opportunity and luck.
I like the snow on top of snow the gfs has for Christmas and then 2 days later.
We do snow on top of snow so we'll around these parts lol.
In all seriousness though the gfs seems to be shifting the storm track south with the blocking setting up.
Nice to see some chances showing up in the 8 to 10 day range.
I believe the gfs was showing a 3 or 4 day event with insane snow totals.
I don't think it got inside of 5 days though on the models, but it was on there for several days out in fantasy Land if I remember correctly.
6z kind of shows this in the 8 to 10 day time frame.
Doesn't get the job done but you could see a scenario with a bit of stronger push from the north where a overrunning event could happen. Currently depicted the run has some snow up in PA.
The Euro isn't what it used to be. I think the gfs has really closed the gap. No science behind the statement, just going off of model watching.
I will say though the Gfs has trended towards the Euro the last several runs and looks like weak sauce.
I was hoping there would be more hits on the eps but It wasn't awful.
Most models give a modest stripe of snow through the area.
More NW less SE except for the Canadian that is better further south.
5 days out I'm happy to be able to be tracking something on the 3rd day of December.