Chris78

Look at the vort over the last 5 runs

All the models tonight have unfortunately trended towards the Euro at h5. Except for maybe the aigfs

This. Basically nothing has trended in a good direction thr last 5 - 10 years. Prior to 2016 we would have some storms that do trend in a good direction inside of 5 days. But that hasn't happened basically at all the last 5 years . JI is right when he says take the model with the least amount of snow. I'm speaking more for my yard and your yard. Places further east has had some better trends with a few storms. It's kind of crazy how pitiful the snowfall has been going back 5 to 10 years.

Is there anything after that Will? Or is that it?

Totally agree with you. This looks alot like a storm we don't mention in these parts lol

Both Icon and GFS heading towards the euro at 18z

Very late bloomer. Not much precip at all to the west. Basically gets going over top of us. I have nightmares from that scenario lol

It's pretty bad. Gets some snow into The area as the run ends but world's apart from its 12z Definitely a nod towards the Euro

Lots of Tucked members off the coast.

The AI Euro has been deadly this year inside 5 days except when it shows something we want lol

Waiting for a -pna to pop up on the models for our storm.

Another sub 20" season seems to be coming for Northern MD. 5 years in a row now for MBY. Worst stretch since records have been kept at hgr. (1899). Truly pathetic. I'll have to double check but my average the last 5 years has been 12" i believe. About 40% of climo.

Never good to wake up to Chuck posting by himself in the long range thread

I'm still waiting on my 15" the euro game me 24 hours before the last storm.

If I can get 17" out of this I'll be at climo

As you like to say we're at the cross roads 3 days out. Do we get the north trend or the ussual which is the opposite of what we need lol?

Goes south

Ukie says no thanks

What a crappy model

Canadian snows on us.

And neither gives us any snow lol

Icon is way north. Rain way up into PA

12z euro AI is even more suppressed lol.

Definitely says the OP is a further norther and warmer outlier

Not sure how much of the Aigfs is snow but if that's all rain with that track and the cold we've had for weeks that would be a he'll of a gut punch