Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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Both Icon and GFS heading towards the euro at 18z
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Very late bloomer. Not much precip at all to the west. Basically gets going over top of us. I have nightmares from that scenario lol
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It's pretty bad. Gets some snow into The area as the run ends but world's apart from its 12z Definitely a nod towards the Euro
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Lots of Tucked members off the coast.
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The AI Euro has been deadly this year inside 5 days except when it shows something we want lol
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Waiting for a -pna to pop up on the models for our storm.
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Another sub 20" season seems to be coming for Northern MD. 5 years in a row now for MBY. Worst stretch since records have been kept at hgr. (1899). Truly pathetic. I'll have to double check but my average the last 5 years has been 12" i believe. About 40% of climo.
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Never good to wake up to Chuck posting by himself in the long range thread
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I'm still waiting on my 15" the euro game me 24 hours before the last storm.
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If I can get 17" out of this I'll be at climo
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As you like to say we're at the cross roads 3 days out. Do we get the north trend or the ussual which is the opposite of what we need lol?
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Goes south
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Ukie says no thanks
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What a crappy model
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Canadian snows on us.
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And neither gives us any snow lol
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Icon is way north. Rain way up into PA
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12z euro AI is even more suppressed lol.
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Definitely says the OP is a further norther and warmer outlier
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Not sure how much of the Aigfs is snow but if that's all rain with that track and the cold we've had for weeks that would be a he'll of a gut punch
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Seems like I- 81 corridor might be the best place to be but even there it's gonna must likely flip. Of course an outcome like the Icon and its rain for everyone well up into the North East. 06z GEFS illustrates the snow chances the further NW you go
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I hate to interrupt PSU and Chucks ongoing dissertation but the Ukie snows on us at the end of its run. Looks like it would be a snow to rain situation but looked like a thump was happening at hour 168
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If precip makes it far enough north you guys should be in good shape up there. We're gonna need a perfect track down here and it might still not be enough.
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Definitely threading the needle. It would need a perfect track to have a portion of the storm as snow. Imo
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Do you think the Euro OP would of started as snow? It's about 6 to 12 hours quicker compared to 12z which may of helped.
