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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. Nice catch, yeah that's pretty odd. At least it's not terribly far south.
  2. And even moreso than being south, it just dries the system up as it moves east. Very little even for southern NJ.
  3. Have to admit I'm starting to get a bad feeling even though I've always been a fan of the RGEM.
  4. So basically right now we have no idea if we're gonna get 2-3 inches or almost nothing. Hopefully RGEM/Euro are right but can't have any confidence until the American models come back north. Hopefully we will see UKMET and Euro hold shortly. As usual a very difficult forecast a couple days before an event. It's never easy.
  5. Bump north on the Euro as well. Looks similar to UKMET. Good way to end the night .... hopefully things will keep trending our way on Thursday.
  6. Nice bump north on the Ukie. Gets a couple inches up to NYC and 3 to 4 for central NJ.
  7. Even with yesterday, we're still well below normal in snowfall. So I don't know why any snow lover would want saturday to bust.
  8. That's a fine early starting point. Need to see more model runs showing 2 to 4 inches before bumping the forecast up to that.
  9. This NAM run actually started it out as a little rain on the leading edge before quickly changing it over to snow.
  10. Good to see NAM looking like RGEM now. I think 3 to 5 might be pushing it, but 2 to 4 seems like a good possibility to me.
  11. NAM coming in well north, this is gonna be a nice run.
  12. But if we end up getting 2 snow events out of it (yesterday and saturday morning), at least we'll be able to say that the mid to late February pattern produced decently. Anyway 12z Euro gets light snow up here. About an inch, with more for southern NJ. Hopefully the RGEM is right and we'll see some north trends with the other models. Would be nice to get 2 or 3 inches.
  13. Yep too far south so it just brushes us with a coating. Hopefully the American models are too far south right now. RGEM looked great.
  14. A decent bump north from its 12z run though. It does get an inch up to Cape May County now, and I'm sure it will keep trending north tomorrow.
  15. I'll be rooting for warmer temps in mid to late March, but over the next month I'll take every inch I can get. It's a real positive that this event will be happening during the overnight hours when temps will be below freezing. Right now it looks like a 1 to 3 inch event to me, but we can hope that it trends to a 2 to 4.
  16. And 12z Euro gives southern NJ a couple inches Saturday morning. Something to watch.
  17. I have a Cardinal couple that has been living here for 6 or 7 years. They roost in the boxwood bush in front of my house every night. I've been seeing this lovely couple so long that it's hard to imagine life without them, lol.
  18. 12z GFS gives us a couple inches Friday night into Saturday morning. Doesn't look like a major storm, but we have a shot at seeing a light event.
  19. It's coming down at a pretty good clip here. Should be picking up in your area soon as this final band swings through. A little over 5 inches here. A heavier burst with the back edge should get us to between 5 and half and 6. Yesterday I thought we'd be somewhere between 4 and 7, so pretty much what was expected. Not a blockbuster obviously, but a nice moderate snowstorm seems like a great event after getting very little the last couple years. I'm pleased.
  20. Yeah a few days ago I (like most people) thought it was just gonna be a coating to an inch or two mostly on colder surfaces for our aarea. Very happy to get a nice high impact moderate snowstorm. It's been a couple years since we've had to have streets plowed like this.
  21. Yeah it's picking up nicely. I have 5" here so far. I think we should at least be able to get to 6. Beautiful out there with the wet snow coating the trees. Best storm in a long time.
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