
winterwx21
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Not nearly as sunny as it was supposed to be today. It's mostly cloudy here. -
Tropical connection NYC forum area Fri-Sun 8/28-30/20
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That's true. Even though there were signs that the worst of it would miss to the south, northern NJ to NYC was at least supposed to see some scattered downpours today. At least we had that nice storm the other night. It was cool seeing the heavy rain blow sideways with that strong north wind from that storm. -
Tropical connection NYC forum area Fri-Sun 8/28-30/20
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The problem is the line is heading ESE. So even if it holds together, it will likely miss NYC to the south. All I had here today was sprinkles. The heavy rain event from the remnants of Laura was a bust, but for a few days there certainly were signs that the worst of it would miss to the south. Not a huge suprise that we got nothing. -
SVR potential late Wed-Thu August 26-27 NYC metro
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Lee Goldberg just showed a futurecast that showed a strong line of storms going through northern Jersey and NYC around 10pm. It's just 1 model and we don't know if it'll be correct, but it's a possibility. -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
For days and days the GGEM kept showing sunday as a complete washout. I think most ignored the GGEM rainy solution for sunday because it's a lousy model and all the other models were dry, but maybe it had the right idea for a change. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
And now I'm down to 90. A very hot day for sure, but not the extreme heat that was advertised. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Can't seem to make it above 95 here. Keeps going back and forth from 93 to 95. A little surprised as I thought we'd see upper 90s today. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
95 with a dewpoint of 67 here. Very hot, but doesn't feel horrible with the humidity not terribly high. I see some models are now showing storms for thursday. That's a change, but I know it's hard to predict convection days in this type of pattern. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
The dewpoint is down to 62 here. I was outside cutting the lawn, and it didn't feel bad at all with the humidity fairly low and a nice breeze. High temp made it to 94 here. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
You keep saying storms with the front wednesday, but right now the models are indicating the front will come through late tuesday. So storms on tuesday but it would be nice with lower humidity wednesday. Unless the timing of the front slows down. -
Potential few SVR/FF events parts of NYC forum Wed-Thu 7/22-23/20
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Thankfully those 12z models were wrong, especially HRRR which really missed this. A great job by wdrag! As others said, a great storm here in northern Middlesex county. Probably the best lightning show in the last couple years along with 40 to 50mph wind gusts and over 2 inches of rain. Really glad we didn't miss out! -
Potential few SVR/FF events parts of NYC forum Wed-Thu 7/22-23/20
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Models for our area aren't as impressive as they looked yesterday. HRRR isn't showing much activity. Looks as if the storms for our area today will be very isolated. At least we have another chance tomorrow if today doesn't deliver. -
Potential few SVR/FF events parts of NYC forum Wed-Thu 7/22-23/20
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I see 18z RGEM has a really nice line of storms for tomorrow. Models like RGEM and HRRR really picking up on the convection for tomorrow that the EC would miss, as you said. Looks like a nice severe weather day tomorrow. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah, I do too. It definitely makes you feel good about the shape you're in when you can do major running in this type of heat. Most people can't do it, and of course they shouldn't try unless they're in great shape. You really need to be in great shape to do serious running in this type of heat. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
It really makes a big difference when the dewpoints are in the 60s rather than the 70s. I went for outdoor dining for brunch today (pancakes) and it really didn't feel that bad with a dewpoint of 63. In fact I went for a 7 mile run during the evening yesterday when the dewpoint was 67, and it didn't feel bad at all. But when I run when the dewpoint is in the 70s, it really feels hot. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah the dewpoint is down to 60 here now and might fall to the upper 50s this afternoon. Very hot, but doesn't feel too bad out there with the low humidity. -
The heaviest part of that cell went a few miles to my south, but we still had a pretty heavy downpour and gusty winds (30 to 35mph). I got 0.44" from it. And another tiny cell came through a little while ago and dropped a quick 0.10". Really glad we finally broke our drought here in Piscataway! Over a half inch today and three quarters of an inch from a t-storm a few days ago, and of course the big 2 and half inches of rain from the tropical storm yesterday. Won't have to water for quite awhile.
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Yeah, it has been coming down in buckets. We're up to 2.5" of rain and some flooding is happening. Looks as if the worst of the rain is over now, but there still should be a few more downpours to get us over 3 inches of rain. I'm very happy that I won't have to water the garden for awhile.
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Yeah, it's been pouring here for awhile. Some thunder and some 25 to 30mph wind gusts, but the main thing is the plants are getting much needed water. The rain is now tapering off and we have close to three quarters of an inch of rain here, the most we've had in Piscataway in a long time. Glad I can finally stop watering the vegetable garden.
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Svr potential Monday July 6 2P-10P NY metro
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We did finally get a decent downpour here. Low end heavy rain for awhile that did get us up close to a quarter inch for the day. Nothing great, but at least enough to finally give the garden a decent watering. -
Svr potential Monday July 6 2P-10P NY metro
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm so jealous. Amazing how the storms keep slipping just a few miles to my southeast. -
Svr potential Monday July 6 2P-10P NY metro
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That big storm missed just a few miles to the south and east. Another less intense cell did form behind it and gave us some moderate rain, but not enough to give things a good watering. Plenty of other storms around, so hopefully something will hit here later. Maybe those storms to the north of Plainfield will drift south. -
Svr potential Monday July 6 2P-10P NY metro
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
And that big storm is missing us by just a few miles here in Piscataway yet again. Just like every storm last week. This is becoming so ridiculous it's comical. It's so dry here that yellow/brown leaves are falling off the trees into my yard, yet just a few miles away there has been plenty of rain in the last week. How does every single storm always miss us? -
Sounded like a war zone here last night. By far the most fireworks I've ever heard and seen. Tons and tons of big-time illegal stuff. I lit off a lot of stuff myself. It was a fun night. I didn't see police busting anyone in this area. I think they realized that people should be able to light off stuff and have fun themselves this year since most fireworks displays were cancelled.
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July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
winterwx21 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
95 degrees here now, but the dewpoint has fallen to 56. At least its a dry heat today. Models are showing scattered heavy storms for tomorrow, so hoping for a dowpour here tomorrow. The ground is absolutely parched.