Jed33

This wind is no joke this afternoon! I see where Knoxville was reporting sustained winds of 40mph with gusts to 63 earlier and while I don’t have an anemometer, I’d say it was close to that here. Seems like a High Wind warning would be more appropriate, but I know we don’t hardly get those here in the valley. A few weeks ago, and to some degree, this time, seems like the timing was off on the advisory/warning. The wInd this time though is every bit as strong as then if maybe not a little more, and only an advisory this time. I guess it’s not worth the trouble to upgrade?

Oh man, Amory, MS is my hometown! I’ve just been talking to everyone I know. So far, everyone is safe, but one friend lost his house and the entire neighborhood. Apparently the north side of the town was destroyed. Just a terrible, terrible situation. My heart aches for those people! Just up the road is Smithville where the EF5 went through in 2011. That area has truly been hit hard over the past 12 years!

That makes sense then about the airport. In Morristown, where the office is, the airport is only maybe a half mile away, if that from the weather station. Also, the elevation is virtually the same. So would be similar in the temp department. Unfortunately, what is probably going on with the precip is they have the sensor mounted on a deck or porch and it’s unable to record the precip bc it’s covered and blocking the sensor from reporting the correct readings. You would think the NWS would say something about it, but I guess they can’t really do anything if the airport isn’t interested in fixing it.

Say it ain’t so! Well I guess if we do we do. I’ve seen it frost as late as May 20 before, but that was a long time ago. Seems like more often than not after these late starts we turn off hot and dry too! That just adds more insult to injury on trying to get a garden going! I sure hope we don’t have a hot, dry summer this year.

Might as well talk to them about their own station. The temperature seems fine, but if you’ll notice on their webpage they never record precipitation of any kind falling. The most you’ll see is mist. It could be a thunderstorm outside and it will show mist. It’s been that way for years.

18 here at the house this AM. Hopefully like others said there is no more harsh cold, by that I mean below 20. However the GFS has been advertising another freeze like Carver said near the end of the month. Redbud trees must be incredibly resilient to cold temps. It doesn’t seem to have had any impact on their blooms. However, the pears and cherries turned brown last week and this finished them off I’m sure. Same with the cherries. I don’t know about the apples. Haven’t seen many of them blooming. Meanwhile, I continue to cover up my blueberries at night and hope tonight is the last time. It’s a lot of work to uncover during the day and recover at night!

21 this AM at the house with some flurries off and on earlier.

Meanwhile, guidance has been getting colder for tonight, such that MRX is now forecasting near record or even record lows in places! Hopefully this is the last really cold night for this winter. Looks like some places north of I-40 will drop into the teens tonight.

Same here as well.

Unfortunately, considering the redbuds are blooming and that is traditionally the first of these “spring winters”, I don’t think we’re going to avoid it. This is going to be about as cold of a “redbud winter” though as I’ve ever seen. Also, I saw a dogwood today that the buds were swelling on and slightly opened. If we’d stayed warm just a little longer, the dogwoods would be blooming and we would have had both “winters” at the same time. I don’t think this freeze will hurt the dogwoods in this stage, but if it gets down into the low 20’s tomorrow night, it will fry the redbuds, pear trees, cherries, and any other blooming trees, as well as any leaves that have put out on them. Daffodils will be fine, as they can take snow and a lot more cold. I’ve seen them take low teens and not even phase them. Right now I had to cover up my blueberry bushes this evening and will again tomorrow night. I’m thinking I’m going to have my work cut out for me over the next few weeks with them, unfortunately it looks like I’ll be covering and uncovering them quite a bit!

There are many shrubs like that around here as well. Otto Lukyens and other laurels like Skip Laurel took it on the chin. My neighbor had some formed into a hedge along his driveway that had to be at least 8ft tall and about 15yrs old. They are brown and only putting out from the bottom and some midway up the shrub. His will have to be pruned like that and basically start over like they were 15yrs ago when he planted them. Even then it’s not going to be pretty. There won’t be an even re-growth to a hedge. Some will sprout higher up on the individual shrub and others lower down, making it to where they have to be pruned lower than might ordinarily be the case in order to try to achieve some form of uniform hedge again.

That’s incredibly high amp! But, as high as it is, check out the JMA!

Similar story here today. Tbh, the wind did not reach High Wind Warning criteria here until the storms went through this afternoon. Now, this evening we are easily gusting to 40-50mph!

Snow showers scattered around here right now. Temp is 35.

Well, to be fair it is the weather, and the weather is going to do what the weather is going to do. Personally, I really appreciate Holston, Carver, and all the others that chime in here to offer observations and thoughts on the pattern and possibilities going forward. It’s hard to find analysis like this elsewhere and that’s what makes this board so great in my opinion! It may or may not work out, but there have been other times like this before. So, if it doesn’t work out in our favor, I don’t consider it a loss myself because the opportunity was there. When you are studying/interested in something you have no control over, then you take what you get and enjoy it good or bad. Then, the next time something comes up, you can draw on past experiences to give you an idea of what might happen. Even then though, it’s just an idea of what might happen. Nothing is ever guaranteed. Doesn’t mean it’s not fun or interesting to study though. Just my two cents.

Well the sun is out here but not before a small band with a “white-rain” moved through. It was so bright with the sun shining right in that I had to hide behind a porch column to diffuse this light, but I did manage to get a glimpse of some snow mixing in, and after that this spectacular rainbow out my front door over the lake!

The returns aren’t as heavy in NW AL as in Central MS, but what they don’t have in returns in this area, they make up in elevation. There are places that are over 1,000ft to the South and SW of Florence AL, so there might be some flakes making it down here.

It’s too bad MS doesn’t have much elevation! Around here 2k ft would not be anything really special and this would be a site to behold! Unfortunately for them, most of the state is under 500ft, and the peaks only max out at 806ft in the far NE corner. Having lived there a good bit of my life though, I wouldn’t trade it for anything. 2 good things they never have to worry about in any part of that state is the rain shadow effect from downsloping and a plateau that hangs up cold air! There’s just not anything tall enough to do either. On the flip side though, they struggle even more with getting cold fronts to pass through bc of latitude. So, I guess there’s that trade off to consider as well.

Wow! If that’s hail, that’s gonna add up fast!

Lol Jeff! I should have been more prepared. Those trajectory model forecasts had it passing right over this area, but I didn’t think too much about it. I could have gotten some better pics if I had called a buddy who is a photographer and we could have had a neighborhood spy ballon party lol!

Yeah I had just taken the dogs out to walk and thought wait a minute, that’s got to be it. I ran inside to get my wife’s phone bc it makes better pictures than mine. So, I ran back outside and took a few. It was still a little on the dark side, but yeah, there it was!

This was at 7:25 AM eastern

Saw it this morning in the southern sky. I literally thought what star is that, and then I remembered oh yeah, it may be the balloon. So, I took a couple pictures and then compared it to other images online I could find, and I do believe it really was what it was.

Looks like it’s moving right along. On RadarScope it looks like it’s about to be at John’s house soon.

I did notice by the looks of the radar it does go way back into TX (Deep into the heart of TX, as they say) also it appears the precip around Memphis has more of an easterly, slight NE movement for the time. Meaning more areas of N MS will likey get involved this time and of course middle TN. Looks like it’s about to be knocking on the door Of the western plateau-there is kind of a strange finger that has developed east in Rutherford Co and extending east.