CAPE

0.22" Better than nothing, esp as unimpressive as the radar looks overall. Pretty lucky to get anything. Maybe another shot in the early morning hours.

Getting a decent shower here for the first time in recent memory.

95 here. High for the day. It feels hot out, but there has been a significant breeze all day so it isn't awful.

Still 83 approaching 930. Doesn't feel bad out at all really, but pretty impressive for here where there is zero UHI and really nothing but open fields and woods with clear skies. Probably hit a low of about 78.

Temp down to 93 at 430. Living in the middle of nowhere with trees and farm fields all around has its slight advantages.

Temp down to 95 now. That 97 reading was probably sun influenced. My station is in the direct sun for a time mid-late afternoon.

Walking out onto the deck from the AC space it feels like an oven lol. It's mostly shaded now so I can stand out in it for 10 mins without breaking a sweat. Just don't move much. Luckily not much movement required for a couple hits of weed. Back inside now with a KBS.

97/68

91/70 at noon

72 here this morning. It has been in the mid 60s the last few mornings. The big heat is on. Could really feel the increase in humidity yesterday afternoon.

There is an ongoing discussion/debate associated with the international requirements for reduced emissions from ships having an impact on warming. I work for the shipping industry on the training side, and we constantly adapt our course offerings to any (new) international requirements. Currently many ships powered by 2 stroke diesels are switching over to burning LNG as a fuel because its 'cleaner'. These engines are considered dual fuel- burning diesel as a back up to the boil off gas from the LNG. Pretty complex process from storage of the fuel as a cryogenic liquid to getting it to an acceptable pressure and temperature where it can be injected into the engine. The article linked below references a UMBC study on warming effects related to reduced SO2 emissions. https://www.newscientist.com/article/2433564-cleaner-ship-emissions-may-warm-the-planet-far-faster-than-expected/#:~:text=This effect was more acute,average%2C according to the study.

Now abnormally dry across most of the region with areas of moderate drought in VA west of DC and the lower eastern shore. https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor

Always a good bet given recent history, and with nothing of significance to suggest anything different. That being said, in these parts all we need is a couple weeks with a favorable pattern within an overall period of suckage to have a memorable winter.

CFS has backed off on the strength of the Nina over the last week. Close to neutral in Feb now.

Speculation mostly at this juncture, but it's time. Days will be getting shorter going forward. Ji is slipping.

This is a major problem across the league. The use of data analytics, with measurement of and emphasis on velocity and spin rate etc. seems partly to blame. Rather than going by 'feel' and natural grip/motion/release to develop a repertoire, this generation of pitchers attempts to 'synthesize' it based on specific desired outcomes.

Look at the advertised position of the surface high in the western Atlantic and the low/mid level flow and temps. The worst of the heat for the MA will be late week into the weekend.

600 dam lol Baltimore and Philly will be pushing 100 by the end of the week.

Low of 57 this morning. One more nice day before the heat dome begins to build. Tomorrow shouldn't be too bad but heat and humidity will be on the increase beyond.

0.28" from a garden variety thundershower overnight

80/50 Enjoy the hell out of this while it lasts. Having a beer then going outside to plant some flowers.

55. Feels great out there.

Mount Holly also mentioned the possibility for severe in their morning AFD- Convective details remain unclear at this time, but the medium range guidance continues to indicate potential for at least some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of the front Friday afternoon and evening. With the approaching trough, there will be at least modest shear and forcing for convection. These could also be sufficient enough for a severe threat as well, however the limiting factor for severe currently appears to be the less-than-impressive instability thanks to the poor mid-level lapse rates. In any case, we`ll need to keep a close eye on Friday`s heat and severe weather threats.

Yeah we gonna cook pretty good next week. With the flow around that High, dewpoints will be well into the 60s with a couple days in the low 70s maybe.

The 0z Euro has an even more pronounced dig to the shortwave energy and even develops a bit of a surface low off the MA coast.