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CAPE

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  1. CAPE
    High of 95 here today. Currently 83 approaching 10 pm.
  2. CAPE
    All the dairy farms around here have extensive irrigation systems. It is a must given the scattered, inconsistent nature of summer rains. Not sure how any farm in our region can depend exclusively on mother nature to deliver the needed water for feed corn etc.
  3. CAPE
    Yeah I saw the big totals in your area on the radar estimate. Places in SNJ had 4-6" during that period.
  4. CAPE
    Snippet from Mount Holly morning AFD focused on Saturday- Low pressure lifts northward into Ontario Friday night into Saturday with a strengthening southerly flow developing in the warm sector over the area ahead of an approaching cold front. This will ratchet up the mugginess even further with dewpoints potentially reaching over 75 degrees in some areas by Saturday afternoon. Combined with forecast highs for Saturday once again in the upper 80s to low 90s for most areas, this could bring peak heat indices in the range of 102 to 107 degrees, meaning heat headlines would be needed if this forecast holds. The synoptic scale lift provided by the cold front along with abundant moisture looks to result in widespread showers and storms by Saturday afternoon into the evening. And at this point, both severe weather and flash flooding look to be a threat. We remain particularly concerned seeing progged PWat values by both deterministic models and ensembles in the range of 2.25 to 2.5 inches which is again is close to climatological maxes.
  5. CAPE
    Low of 58 this morning. Won't be seen that again anytime soon.
  6. CAPE
    It's a smoothed snapshot on a seasonal model at super long range. The overall look may be unappealing, but within that general longwave pattern you can see the potential for a period or 2 of cross Polar flow with a -EPO and the TPV stretched and in that position. As we have seen in some recent Ninas, a couple relatively short lived cold periods(and a little luck with timing) within an overall mild winter pattern can produce a few good snow events along the east coast.
  7. CAPE
    77/53 What a difference a day makes. Ofc this time of year this can't last very long. Back into the low 90s with dewpoints into the 70s for the 4th. That should be the beginning of a period that will feature some t-storm chances.
  8. CAPE
    Got lucky here with that southward moving line of storms last night. Picked up exactly an inch from that and ended up with 1.28" for the day.
  9. CAPE
    Getting a nice storm here now. Nothing severe, but some glorious heavy rain.
  10. CAPE
    Evapotranspiration, or as some call it in those areas- corn sweat. Those are some crazy high DPs. Plenty of feed corn growing around here with all of the dairy farms in this area, but I have never really observed a notable increase in summer dewpoints compared to surrounding urban areas. Smaller scale compared to a place like Iowa though.
  11. CAPE
    88/76 Not as hot here but still a sauna.
  12. CAPE
    Another tenth lol. Hopefully I can nickel and dime to a half inch. Looks promising for later on some guidance, while others have convection focused to the east.
  13. CAPE
    SPC updated to Enhanced risk just to the NE of our region. Includes the extreme NE portion of DE and all of NJ.
  14. CAPE
    Radar lighting up a bit just to my west. Hopefully I can catch a downpour.
  15. CAPE
    77/73 Sultry. Soupy. Windows steamed up.
  16. CAPE
    Had one brief torrential downpour early this morning that yielded 0.15". Hearing booming thunder now as a cell has just popped up but looking at radar it is just NE of here. Hopefully this afternoon/evening delivers.
  17. CAPE
    That's typically the way we get it in summer, outside of tropical. Prolonged light-moderate soaking rain events are hard to come by. Torrential works for me because of the flat terrain and lack of impervious surfaces around.
  18. CAPE
    Beautiful evening here. 73/53 with a nice breeze. Almost hard to believe how awful it will feel by this time tomorrow, and even worse by Sunday.
  19. CAPE
    Most of us could use an inch+ of rain. Don't really care about the severe at this point.
  20. CAPE
    6z GFS is jacked up for I-95 points south and east on Sunday.
  21. CAPE
    Nothing but a period of light rain here. 0.15". That won't help much.
  22. CAPE
    High of 95 here. Still 87 going on 8PM.
  23. CAPE
    That's ugly. FV3 Hi-res would work.
  24. CAPE
    Os are slumping a bit. Not worried at all about the offense at this juncture. Pitching is becoming more problematic, but they have plenty of young talent to go make a couple of deals at the deadline to shore it up.
  25. CAPE
    Nice this morning. Low of 59.
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