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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Agree with this. I probably misinterpreted your post. I thought you were suggesting a 50-50 vortex (transient or otherwise) was more important than having a -AO and or -NAO. A -NAO/50-50 combo is absolutely the ULTIMATE block imo to force a favorable storm track for MA snow events.
  2. Yeah that's my point- vortices rotating through the 50-50 region absent a NA block are thread the needle deals. I will take that over having higher heights in that region every time though for sure. But no way in hell I believe that is the ultimate/ better or equivalent to having a sustained -AO/NAO.
  3. A 50-50 low really goes hand in hand with a -NAO though. Without the block, a vortex in the 50-50 region is mostly a transient feature, which is ok, but not the same as having a low trapped under a legit blocking ridge in the NA.
  4. Skura is out for the season for the Ravens after last night's knee injury. Pretty big blow. Mekari(who?) filled in and played well last night but he had no regular game action at center since HS before that. Next man up, but this is less than ideal given the continuity and success the Ravens have enjoyed on the OL this year.
  5. Could be mine too, but I suppose it is really the @leesburg 04 storm.
  6. I have been liking this period for a while. The storm after the storm everyone is focusing on.
  7. Yeah I miss a good clipper. They can be fun, are pretty simple, but can be a challenge to get one to track to our south. Been few and far between in recent winters. If this winter ends up being ENSO neutral and EPO ridge dominant we could see a legit clipper or 2 track underneath with some decent coastal enhancement.
  8. Still liking the GFS getting my yard in on some deform band action with the coastal.
  9. I don't believe this is correct. To the best of my knowledge each model run is discrete, based on a set of initial conditions and executed from that point, independent of any previous model cycles. Someone can correct me if i am wrong.
  10. I would feel pretty good if I lived in NE PA, NNJ, into SNE right now. The GFS scenario is obv not impossible, but seems pretty unlikely to me. CMC looks more realistic.
  11. Quite a bit further south with the coastal than previous runs on the mean. Might get in on a little deform action if the trends continue.
  12. They might. Houston recovered. Pretty equal teams. Rams weren't the same at the end of last season, and that carried into this one. Still pretty talented.
  13. So much snow without even a random sleet pellet.
  14. Ravens can win up there even if they do. When is the last close game they played? I've forgotten lol.
  15. Does this team really need a pro bowl punter?
  16. Oh look, another 10" of snow.
  17. Seriously, it's weird. But I am kinda getting used to it.
  18. I mean, fall on the damn ball.
  19. I am too. The Rams "need" it more. That being said, I think the Ravens would have to play sloppy- penalties/turnovers- for the Rams to win.
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