CAPE

Wait- this isn't a great look?

If it somehow ends up snowing here, I will throw a party around the firepit with weenies and unlimited 120s for all. Y'all will have to sleep in the woods tho.

He is wise and really knows the local climo, and seems immune to hype. I don't think that is being negative.

Maybe. But if you ignore the dumbass snow maps and silly surface p-type maps, that run verbatim was a wound up coastal hugger with very marginal temps. You of all people should be able to tell us the actual outcome. That said, its an op run 7 days out with a favorable pattern as advertised on the means. Next run!

Verbatim? Me neither. Its (not) happening! tho.

Yes I was in Carroll county then. Instant whiteout when that hit, with rapid temp drop and flash freeze. Only event that was close to that, although not as dramatic, was the mid Feb convective snow in 2015. That was over 3" in about the same amount of time.

I see coastal storms.

Y'all know I hate snow maps but this captures that window pretty well. There is a signal there.

Looks like a wave along a front, with cold coming in on the backside. Some Barney cold at that.

The 6z GFS delivered ample digital snow, and Ji is asleep. I am sure the later runs will retract it so he can melt.

I think the WFT has a legit chance. TB D is not very good, and the WFT D line can pressure Brady and stuff the run. Their secondary needs to play well too tho. TB has some good downfield weapons.

I got my whine, and some cheese to go with it.

lol I always include a disclaimer anytime I post anything from the super LR/seasonal tools, favorable or unfavorable. The weenies seem to miss it tho.

Shit let me get some wine.

First time I have seen Mt Holly mention the evolving pattern/potential in their AFD. Same general ideas we have been discussing here. The overall weather pattern of ridging over the north Atlantic with troughing over eastern Canada looks to continue through the long term. This is the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) which is often favorable for cold, stormy weather in the mid Atlantic. However a split flow in jet over eastern Canada looks to divert the real cold air well to our north so temperatures should actually be seasonable during this period. And at least initially the main storm track will likely remain supressed to our south. In terms of the details, the next southern stream wave looks to help steer a coastal low from the SE CONUS northeast off the Carolina coast by later Friday into early Saturday. There`s still a chance this could brush parts of Delmarva into southern NJ with a bit of rain or snow late Friday into early Saturday however this otherwise looks to be miss for our area meaning continuing mostly dry weather. We will continue to track this closely though in case it ends up trending back farther north and west which is still not completely out of the question. Otherwise high pressure should then move in and dominate for this coming weekend bringing a fair amount of sunshine and dry weather. By early next week we`ll need to watch the potential for another storm system that could move up or off the coast later next Monday into Tuesday.

Nothing other than impatience. Random op runs always entice the usual suspects, and make them lose all perspective. Getting something sooner would be cool, but the favorable period has always looked to begin around mid month.

rotted air mass

Titans gave up 439 points this season. That's not good. Remember Campbell and Brandon Williams didn't play in the overtime loss this season. I think they will make a big difference against the run, because, that's what they do.

Congrats!

If fans believe their team is legit and can make a super bowl run, they don't fear any matchup. After that OT loss, and the horrible playoff game last year, I want the Titans. WDI too!

Browns are a playoff team. They ran for 265 against the Steelers back in game one before the run game really got going. Not saying it will be easy. It shouldn't be. The fans might fear the Titans, but I guarantee you the Ravens would love to see them again.

The Ravens running game is a machine now though. They eat clock, and score.

I would rather play the Titans. Their D is very soft. Colts D is way more talented. Raven's D should be as healthy as they have been all season, and up for the challenge.