CAPE

They are 5-2 lol.

It is officially over watered now. It will scorch, as always, starting late June.

They ran the heck out of the ball down 2 starters on the OL, against arguably the best Defensive front in the league. They still need a big time receiver or another TE and Lamar has to be better at seeing the field and not forcing balls. His ball security today was uncharacteristically bad. The team as a whole has way too many dumb penalties esp in the last 2 games. They have work to do to be able to beat teams like KC and Pitt. Unfortunately Stanley is out for the season. Bad break. I expect DeCosta to be busy the next 48 hours.

Sunny here now. 54 degrees. Changeable day lol.

0.78" I think it has ended.

Did Roman just have an epiphany? Yes. YES. Run the damn ball.

Ugh Stanley. DeCosta might have to make a deadline deal for a LT.

0.53" here so far. Shouldn't be too much more. Back edge moving east pretty quickly.

Looks like the rain is ending in Baltimore just before gametime.

Pouring. Looks like this will move through fairly quickly at least.

BWI: 10.7 DCA: 7.9 IAD: 9.5 RIC: 4.5 SBY: 4.2

Mount Holly has had heavy rain wording in the forecast for here since yesterday. I'm thrilled.

35 when I went to bed. 46 now. Looks like rain by late morning.

0z GFS op for Mid November. I guess it was a 3-run epic -NAO mirage lol. GEFS still has some +Heights up top but digs a trough out west the last couple runs.

The November edition of the CanSIPS is out. Pretty meh overall, but not as bad as last month. Typical boilerplate Nina look with little to no help in the AO/NAO domain. December and March have the "better" h5 looks. Positive temp anomalies throughout.

Even the Jehovah's Witnesses stopped coming.

No one comes to my house. Probably all those threatening signs I have at the end of the driveway.

I want my mid November cold rain.

Yeah we have seen this many times before in the LR, and it rarely materializes in real time. It gives us some hope for now though, until all our hopes and dreams are dashed by reality lol.

12z GEFS concurs. It might be real, but the real question is, will this look be possible a month later?

Suppression depression coming for mid month.

Been tracking this for awhile on the extended GEFS and EPS weeklies for mid to late Nov. Good to see it showing up on recent op and ens runs now that they are in range. The look on the12z run today would probably suppress the storm track so far south we would miss all the cold rain.

3 runs in a row it has impressive +height anomalies up top. It flipped on a dime though. There was nothing but blue up top prior to the 0z run.

Mostly sunny and breezy now. Hopefully it dries things out a bit before more rain tomorrow. Temp up to 41.

Ha. Nah I will find something to do. But yes, HH will be earlyish, just not THAT early.