CAPE

I know it doesn't seem to matter much here either. Happens every year at this time. High sun and torchy temps.

After another round of legit heat and humidity Sunday - Tuesday, the h5 pattern for the end of the month into early August looks like it will bring generally tolerable temps and humidity levels, and maybe some chances for rain.

Absolutely pouring here on the west side of Easton.

That's how we roll with precip in the summer. It tends to even out, but going dry this time of year for weeks sucks. Happened here last July, even before the more widespread drought started.

Only 0.12" here overnight. Looks like that shortwave moving in from the west, as the front sinks south, should get some steadier rain/convection going this morning.

Little if any fans in the stands. And on time as of now. With no preseason, they will have extra time to prepare as the usual OTAs were cancelled.

Looking forward to NFL football. No preseason games. About time. What an embarrassment of riches the Ravens have at running back- Mark Ingram, Gus Edwards, Justice Hill, and now Dobbins. Not to mention Jackson. Assuming they can fill the void left by Yanda, the OL should be effective again.

The Washington Hot Air. Works on a couple levels.

Yeah reasonably well, considering its not able to capture the fine details at a localized scale, like the CAMs are supposed to do lol.

The CAMs have sucked the past few days. Must be something about this type of pattern/ air mass, with generally hard to pinpoint regions of forcing.

Excessive rainfall discussion from WPC- South/Central Appalachians/OH Valley/Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will move across the region ahead of an approaching cold front from the northwest. Ahead of this boundary, very moist and unstable air will be in place. Some weak impulses moving atop this environment should support scattered to widespread convection. Precipitable water values will climb to around 2 inches aided by light southwesterly flow. This is around 1.5-2 standard deviations above the mean. Instability will be modest with MUCAPE values around 1000 J/kg. While convection is expected to move at a decent pace eastward, multiple rounds moving over pockets of lower FFG could result in isolated flash flooding across this region. Not to mention, as the front starts to sag south across southern New England, the propagation vectors will align with the mean wind parallel to the front. This will result in training of convection in some locations. Given this and the convection observed from yesterdays activity, a Marginal Risk was expanded across a large portion of the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic southward into southern Appalachians and north into the OH Valley. Worked with the local offices and coordinated an upgrade to a Slight Risk across much of the central/southern Appalachians where HREF probabilities were fairly decent and FFG values were fairly low.

Yeah looks like a legit front(for July) with an upper level perturbation, and a set up that supports slow movers/training/back building. Should be juicy, and some places are likely going to see some heavy rain.

1.10" in the last 24 hours, and right about 5" for the month now. Hopefully more to come tomorrow.

Same. I saw one dude in a store, technically wearing a mask- it was hanging on his chin- not covering his nose or mouth. lol.

Yup. Some people can learn new material without actual contact/feedback from an instructor, while others find it difficult. This is where it comes down to the design and execution of the online platform- making it as analogous to the traditional classroom experience as is possible.

Even the few courses we have put online, for adults, who are motivated presumably because these courses are international requirements for them to keep doing their jobs lol, it was like herding sheep. Instructors have to constantly monitor and keep after them to login and put in the time for each module, and post on the board/chat for specific topic discussion, which substitutes for class participation.

Online can be fantastic for self motivated college students, if it is set up and managed properly. Especially Masters students for certain degree programs. The success rate falls off dramatically when you get to HS aged kids. It is so dependent on the bandwidth of the available internet technology, the parents, and the self discipline of the student, which is generally lacking at that age. So many social distractions etc.. Just my opinion.

Last night was better for sure. Its raining. Bottom line for me. I had my severe experience a week and a half ago. Just got those trees cut up- stacked and waiting for better weather to split it. 0.45" here so far, and exactly an inch over the last 2 days. I'll take it.

Raining hard here. Only a few rumbles of thunder. Nothing like last night.

Obligatory shots across the farm fields..

Some nice redevelopment as that line approaches.

Looks like the city of Baltimore is getting some torrential rain.

That bowing segment looks pretty weak now. Have to see what happens as it crosses the bay. Maybe some cold pool/outflow redevelopment. Otherwise it looks like it could be pretty uneventful for this area. The Greensboro-Goldsboro split is underway!

It could evolve that way. I'm ok if it misses. Scored decently last night, and tomorrow looks promising.

Looks like the line is bowing out as it approaches Annapolis.