CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Time to break out the SREFs
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I think there will be some good banding later this morning/early afternoon, but most of the mesos seem to focus it mostly east/se of my yard. Could easily envision a rain snow mix here with accumulating snow over in S DE.
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38 and just started raining here. Actually warmer than when I went to bed. Have to see how things play out with the area of fgen forcing. Need that good lift. Without the rates, could end up with mostly snow tv here.
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Some people, maybe.
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Blame snow maps. Or model uncertainty. Oh the horror. Always messing with my emotions. What can't these blasted things be perfect.
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And..it is actually going to snow. I don't see a single model or forecast that suggests otherwise.
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lol no idea. I don't pay much attention the the HRRR ever. What good is a hi res rapid update model that shows something different almost every run?
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The high temp today isn't really relevant. It is currently 37 here with a dp of 26. I have seen plenty of snow events start with temps in the mid to upper 30s.
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It will look different in less than an hour. Might be worse.
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I am not a gambler, unless having a 401k counts. Guess I should have googled that one lol.
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Oh well. I fuccked that up.
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For you friend.
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I am burned out on snow maps. Summon WB WW.
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lol its killing him. 5.2 for my yard
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Yes, other than right at onset in the lowlands. As has been discussed all day, the immediate surface is the only warm layer, and it is a thin slice.
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Probably because no one can be bothered posting it. I know I cba.
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Its slightly SE. Not much though. Most notable difference is qpf is juiced up down in the tidewater.
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38/27
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+0.5" so I will go with the mean.
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43/29
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Gotta post the herderps. Lookin a lil better over here. probably good for 2-3" ground truth.
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Don't waste your time dude. Seriously.
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Ok I need a bar. @MillvilleWx Over-under 4" here.
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I love the collective WE here.
