CAPE

Sounds like you need some artificial drainage there. It literally cannot rain enough here in the summer. Soil is super well drained on the "upland" part of my property where the house/lawn is.

Not expecting much of anything over here tonight, unless some of this localized/isolated stuff passes over.. The main show with the OV energy should pass well to the NW.

Pretty nice evening. 81 and quite comfortable. View of a thin line of northward moving convection to the ESE along the MD/DE border.

It appears DOX has replaced the hard drive and executed a successful reboot. Radar back online!

It's early, and the thread is really just casual tracking/discussion of some of the indices that tend to influence the character of winter, along with some general speculation at this point. If the 'chat' makes you laugh, you may need to 'filter' a bit.

Dude. Read for context. The NBA assessed their situation, made significant adjustments, thought outside the box, and "figured out" a process that gives them a reasonable chance to complete their season. These sports leagues literally have any and all resources available to them, especially the NFL. We will see how it works out.

Seasonable would be tolerable, and the best we could hope for. Long range means suggest that is possible. But yeah hopefully it doesn't go dry. Doesn't look like that will be a problem for the next week or so anyway.

Yeah he really is, but I thought it may have been a tad harsh to start off a fresh banter thread.

I didn't think this would go well. Sources: MLB commissioner warns of shutdown if coronavirus isn't better managed https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29572885/sources-mlb-commissioner-warns-shutdown-players-do-better-job-managing-coronavirus I still don't think the NFL has a clue what they are doing, and imo there is zero chance the season is completed- if it even gets started. There is a reason players are opting out. The NFL "plan" is destined to fail. It was always going to be difficult to pull off given the large rosters and nature of the sport, but they had plenty of time to figure this out, unlimited funds to really get creative, and it appears they have done the minimum. Hope I am wrong. Only sport I enjoy watching.

We defo need to increase the beer talk in here.

One more month of Summer. I am ready for Fall. Ofc it never actually feels like Fall around here until early October- sometimes. Finished July with 6.30" of rain.

Fwiw, the new edition of the CanSIPS is out, and it still looks hideous for the winter months. Looking at h5, no HL blocking at all, big EPAC +height anomalies, +heights in the eastern third of the country. Torchy..

Looking ahead to August, I like this h5 look. EPS is almost identical. We talkin' normal temps with this depiction. This is for the period just after the tropical low departs.

No. But it is happy hour.

Dover needs a hard drive.

Sitting right at 1.00" for the event. Give me more cloudy, damp days like today. Very enjoyable. High of 75.

In theory, although it seems nebulous to me, a QBO that is trending negative heading into/during the winter months, favors a weaker PV, and increases chances for a -AO/NAO, in general. During a Nina, a +AO/NAO tends to be favored, so I suppose the idea is that if the QBO is extremely negative, and the La Nina event is on the weak side, those tendencies can be mitigated, and the chances of HL blocking episodes increase. I will leave it to someone else to dig into the data for previous Nina winters to see if this has any validity.

I brought this up on the previous page, but the only info I found was from DT, and he has some of the years wrong. I will look at the links you provided. What I recalled was- wrt La Nina winters- there is a correlation to cold eastern US when there is a very negative QBO during winter, specifically during a weak Nina. It appears we are heading towards a weak Nina for fall/winter, but not so sure the QBO is going to cooperate(looking at current trends), so this may not matter.

Kinda goes without saying, but cant beat the combo of latitude and elevation, not to mention having a persistent mechanism for orographic lift. With the crappy pattern of last winter, even at this latitude places like Canaan still managed over 100" mainly because of the persistent NW flow induced snow. That usually happens even on the backside of mild inland tracking rain storms.

Got the initial heavy downpour here with some thunder, then on and off light to moderate rain overnight into this morning. 0.8" Over 6" for the month now, yet my grass is torched lol. Always a battle in the woods.

LOL I have thought about doing that whole area with fake turf. Or a hardscape.

Sprinkler? I give up lol. Reseeding will commence in 2 weeks.

Ha I'm going to cut the (mostly weeds and brown grass) when the sun gets a bit lower. Figured I would enjoy a nice beer first.

Thursday HH is sponsored by 'Double Your Citra' DIPA by Oliver Brewing.

That thing goes down a lot more than it should. Usually something mechanical related directly to the radar. You mean they don't have a backup hard drive? Or how about a redundant system? Piss-poor IT they have there.