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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Woodford Reserve on the rocks with a splash of diet coke for HH.
  2. It will advertise plenty of -NAOs in the day 25+ range.
  3. 0.43" here today. Lots of little grass blades popping up out there after only 5 days.
  4. Looks like it is filling in. A half inch of moderate rain would be nice.
  5. lol every time I look at radar my yard is in the notch of nothingness. Back in that rut again.
  6. Wouldn't mind some moderate rain, but would rather not have a deluge as I just put some grass seed down last weekend. Raining pretty good here in Easton now.
  7. Nothing here other than a brief sprinkle yesterday evening. After 7" last week, probably whiff on this period. Things tend to even out.
  8. lol you are looking at it. The FV3 is the upgrade and it became operational last year. The corresponding GEFS upgrade is now experimental- the GEFS Para available on TT. I made a couple posts on the GEFS upgrade in the disco thread a few days ago. The 0z run goes out to hr 840! I know you like that feature.
  9. Most of this activity should die off in the next few hours, as it was mostly driven by surface heating/ surface boundaries/bay breezes. Tomorrow might end up being a better day for more widespread convection. Looks like a ul perturbation moves in early, there will be some actual shear, and the front will still be across the area. SB instability probably wont be as high though.
  10. Not a drop here. Lots of thunder, some awesome cloud formations, and outflow breezes though. Sprinkler running now. Gotta keep that seed moist.
  11. Pretty lit up over here, but nothing in my yard. Storms in every direction though lol.
  12. Not completely out of the question in a 60 game season. We are going to see some odd stuff.
  13. Smyrna, DE area getting pummeled.
  14. My pick was 14-46. Still a chance.
  15. Probably varies, but in general the DC area doesn't do any better than average with snowfall in either case. See PSU's post on the previous page.
  16. 14z HRRR looks juiced up,. esp for NE MD and N DE.
  17. DOX radar down yet again.
  18. Looks like the trend on the latest guidance is for the High over SE Canada to nudge far enough south to give us a mostly dry weekend. It wont be "perfect", but more comfortable with temps in the low to mid 80s and somewhat lower dew points
  19. It's because the set up is favorable for isolated to scattered convection, with high pwats and little in the way of steering flow. Hard to pinpoint exactly where this will occur, thus the broad brush flood watch. So yeah not everyone will see the heavy rain, but for places that do, it may be excessive, and given the recent bouts of heavy rain it wont take too much to cause flash flooding in the more saturated areas.
  20. Old news. CPC/NCEP issued the watch a month or so ago.
  21. WPC has the region in a moderate risk for excessive rainfall.
  22. Not really. LWX doesn't mention how widespread the coverage will, or wont be, while Mount Holly went into more detail on the mechanisms that will be in place for storm initiation, as well as uncertainty on the coverage due to weak lift/ shear. Bottom line is there will be some slow moving cells that will drop a lot of rain in a short amount of time, thus the FFW.
  23. Good read on the setup for today from Mount Holly. There will probably be plenty of areas that don't see heavy rain, or much of anything. Locations that get under a storm will get dumped on.
  24. You suck at trolling. Maybe give up?
  25. No I loosened the soil and raked it in, then covered it with peat moss. Not expecting rain here until maybe Thursday anyway, so it should be fine.
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