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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. What did you end up with for the WAA part yesterday?
  2. LOL. I had like 25 legit flakes. At least I know the column is right now. Time to track the next semi-fail event. This is too low probability to bother with. Maybe I wake up in the morning to a fresh coating. Maybe not. Not worth investing anymore time looking at models that show 2,3,4...6 inches. Maybe we see an inch between tonight and later tomorrow. 'That has been my call. I will stick with it.
  3. You didn't see that awesome band just drop dead as it approached our yards? I had like 25 flakes. This is why I am not optimistic about seeing anything significant.
  4. LOL well that disintegrated quick. Produced a heck of a subsidence area in its wake though. Kinda reminds me of summer.
  5. I haven't seen anything but light rain/drizzle- and mostly a lot of nothing- for the last 12 hours or so. Lets see what this does.
  6. Nice band on the doorstep here. Just as I type this I see a few flakes starting to come down.
  7. A couple hours. I don't think we are going to see widespread snow here. Probably a few periods of snow showers, and hopefully we get lucky and get a heavier burst. Sticking with what I said this morning. Maybe an inch or so.
  8. I think he is looking for sleet instead of rain. The column wont be cold enough for snow over here until this evening most likely.
  9. Its right on the doorstep according to the latest meso. There is a batch of something on radar pivoting your way too. Stare until you see a pinger.
  10. We might see some snow, but today was always going to be mild and damp and drizzly with so significant lift. We have the classic ENE flow off the torching Atlantic waters courtesy of the transfer process.
  11. Might as well build a dense base, since this storm is kind of a bust by your standards for snow events lol.
  12. I don't think eastern areas see any snow until this evening, if there is anything actually falling at that time.
  13. You predicting a pummeling? I hope it pukes fatties there.
  14. @JakkelWx What's the temp there now? I think its colder here in Easton.
  15. I can tell you what it looks like if you want.
  16. That's why I said most areas, You folks up there have stayed frozen the whole time.
  17. 6z Euro looks more realistic for the backside action for most areas. Something like 1-3".
  18. Just look at the thermals and qpf on the 3k NAM to use a model. Wont be much of any frozen during the day verbatim. Tonight into tomorrow is the period where it may snow some, but there really isn't great agreement on the location, and over here it is mostly associated with an inverted trough feature as the system departs. Might work out, but in my recollection this sort of thing rarely does.
  19. GFS and 3km NAM both have 5-6" in our area. The location and intensity of any precip tonight and tomorrow looks pretty iffy to me. Might see an inch or so is my guess.
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