CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Not likely!
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Looks like plenty of 50s and some low 60s for next week. Pretty typical.
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The late week event isn't LR anymore, but since it is being discussed here still.. The real story is it's looking like a respectable period of rain for the warm part of the storm. Probably a decent soaking of an inch+ the way it looks now, and with no rain for going on 3 weeks, it is needed. The colder air that comes in as the precip is ending still may produce a little snow, but doesn't appear it would last long or be cold enough at the surface to amount to anything.
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36 currently after a high of 42.
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A chance of snow and sleet before 10am, then a chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow and sleet accumulation expected.
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Ultimately winter is going bye-bye, so Ji is right. And realistically the late week event, such that it is, may bring some decent(and needed) rain, and possibly some very modest frozen as it departs. Upside of maybe an inch? Ok cool, but hell even here that doesn't do much for me. Sure I could say my winter snow total is 13" instead of 12, lol. I am all in for a late season warning level event, but there is no sign of that.
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Time to cancel WB.
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28 this morning
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Late week storm looking more elongated. h5 vorticity becomes stretched out and a weak secondary wave forms. Hopefully we can get a decent amount of rain on the front end while the initial low is still intact in the OV and the secondary wave moves east. Any chance of frozen is on the backside and appears to be associated with the leftover energy from the initial low, but that is weakening and getting squashed south more each run by a wall of high pressure.
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Made it to 60 here but with the wind it never felt that warm.
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Took a while to get that dry slot further east but since this morning the upslope trajectory has been pretty ideal for Denver metro. Radar has looked more and more impressive. Satellite image is beautiful on COD. Tried to post it but the file is too big and I cant be bothered deleting images lol.
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Looks like a bust in lamarie? Visibility is way too good Denver doing pretty well today, trying to avoid a complete bust after not much happening last night. https://www.earthcam.com/usa/colorado/denver/?cam=denver
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Wind picking up here. Looks like gusts to 40 this afternoon. We get even drier. If the late week potential storm misses, or is a weak pos, we may be tracking drought lol.
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Front Range snowstorm nowcast/conditions 3/13-15
CAPE replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
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^Too far west.
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Yeah a tad maybe. With that wall of high pressure to the NW and some decent cold pressing in, it would be nice to see more indications of the low deepening as it gets to the coast- better chance of a more significant period of frozen on the back end. Plenty of time for some changes.
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Cheyenne 10" of snow in 4 hours. Laramie looks blizzardy currently. Denver getting hammered with heavy snow. Super low visibility on the live city cam.
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Front Range snowstorm nowcast/conditions 3/13-15
CAPE replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Laramie looks pretty impressive on the webcam. Lots of blowing snow. I guess no one found a Cheyenne webcam. -
Denver seems to be getting pummeled pretty good this morning. Looks like the low has finally moved into a position where the front range is getting the more classic easterly upslope.
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GEFS with big changes compared to yesterday. Looks more like the EPS/GEPS at h5. The trend to watch imo is the stretching of the wave and the possibility for it to be weaker/ pushed even further south. Not like we haven't seen that a bunch of times this winter when there was otherwise a pretty decent synoptic setup. As advertised the upper ridge to the west is impressive.
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0z Global means all imply rain ending as a little snow for the late week system. GEPS is the most aggressive.
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CMC has 8-10" of snow for DC on the clown maps.
