CAPE

My last recollection of a temp at zero was after a snowstorm in early March of 2015 I believe. Was a great day, so refreshing. I went hiking and temps were in the 20s that day. Took lots of photos.

Last time I looked past the gravy I ended up with a smaller helping of gravy, and no meat.

No one wants cold and dry, but I would love the rare snowstorm followed by a shot of true Arctic air. Not like it would last long around here, but I love a few mornings around zero with snow cover. Its awesome. Haven't had that since like 2014 or 15 maybe.

I want a cold powder event that leaves you smokin' cirrus.

Isn't this usually how it goes analyzing every op run 5+ days out?

LOL Go make a snowman. The snowfall is over, and I like the random flakes falling and cloudy skies. Going for a hike shortly. This stuff will disappear quickly enough after today.

Snow melts quite effectively in any winter month when the temp is above freezing, and how often to we have multiple days of below freezing temps after a snowfall? The sun angle thing is such a non-factor for getting snow, and most of us don't live in places where we keep it otg long. It's just something else to piss and moan about.

The WAA part was generally better to the south as it moved eastward. I ended up with 3.2", counting the sleet that fell before it turned to light rain/drizzle. As for part 2, basically an inch, although it was snowing earlier today while I was at work- it is 33 and melty now so there may have been a bit more but I wasn't here to see it. Unless I get another random band today or tonight, my total is 4.2" I am not even disappointed, because I know the deal with waa precip, I knew it would be above freezing yesterday with drizzle, and I never bought the stupid amounts of backend snow the guidance had been suggesting here. I called an inch or so, and it appears I nailed it.

Not sure. It seemed to pretty consistently have lower totals here than the other guidance, but I have no idea how well it did with all aspects of the storm(s) overall.

I have half of the lower number.

Yeah I love this perpetual snow shower thing. Pretty rare here. Defo feels like caa upslope flow in the highlands.

I pretty much went the same way for here. It has worked out pretty well. LOL at run after run having the backside so juiced up here.. CMC and Euro were the biggest offenders, but GFS and the mesos had their moments too.

Not much happening here on the west side of Easton. Some very light snow. Radar has looked pretty good over my yard since I left. Might head home early and go for a hike.

lol I am very familiar with failure modes over here. There are plenty. This type of pattern historically provides the best outcomes for the coastal plain, so I will always take my chances.

Here is mine. These HL blocking patterns usually require some time and patience. Some of us have done better than others with the latter lol. We are finally seeing it begin to payoff now. Over the next 10 days we should see multiple storm chances with legit cold air in place. The pattern doesn't get much better than what we now see depicted on guidance- well maybe if it were a Nino. And we are in our prime climo window for cold and snow. The bar should be pretty high. If we fail here, it will probably be because of pure bad luck.

Just cleaned off the car. Right around an inch. That gets me to a bit over 4" for the event. Hopefully can nickel and dime my way to another inch today. Back to pixie dust now. Temp at 30. Jealous of that nice streamer over in the metros. Enjoy.

From Mount Holly- Generally expect precipitation to mostly come in the form of light snow, potentially showery in nature, with snowfall intensities limited by both the weak sources of ascent and the increasingly long and continental trajectories of low-lvl parcels (due to the backing of the flow). That being said would not be surprised to see a decent amount of locations "nickle and dime" themselves another 1-2 inches of accumulation when all is said and done today as duration partially makes up for the weak intensities. At the very least the light snow and breezy NNW winds should maintain the wintry ambiance which will be appreciated by snow lovers. Yes, we do like this sort of thing.

There is interaction/phasing in both cases, but on the 12z run the southern energy was more amped/further south and stayed separate until much later/closer to the east coast.

That is not the typical great lakes low lol. That is a muther of a daughter vortex dropping down. It is cold ahead of it, and super cold behind it.

Wow the radar looks good over there. Now much snow have you picked up?

Must have had a nice band or 2 go through overnight. Looks like about 3/4" of fresh snow. Trees look gorgeous. Snowing lightly now.

Flakes have gone from submicroscopic to microscopic. Progress!

Initial cold front comes through on Friday, and at least on the Euro, Sat looks pretty damn cold. Have to see exactly how it plays out and what the timing is, but this does not appear to be situation where we are trying to score with multiple days of 40s and 50s leading in, and, dat block doe.