CAPE

That UHI must be something. All brown here and any frogs that didn't leave my pond are dead.

It sounds like Huntley is ok and has a decent chance to play Saturday. Running game is back to full strength if these guys stay healthy. Smash mouth ball with the D improving some and getting turnovers will get them to the playoffs. We will see how effective Lamar is when he gets back from the sprained knee, and ofc they are perpetually limited in the passing game due to Roman and mediocre WRs. Not sure if they can get past KC, Cincy, or Buffalo, but if they can run it effectively and control TOP, there is a chance.

I guess it comes down the Ravens ability to run it and get a first down when the Steelers know that's exactly what they are going to do.

lol damn Ravens defense.

With a completely inexperienced rookie QB, that was a great drive. Time for the D to do its job late.

So nice to have Stanley, Gus , and DOBBINS!

The secondary has performed so poorly overall when it matters most, maybe his better plays aren't very memorable.

Even with the advertised block, I would worry more about Ocean warmth getting involved with a low tracking too close. Seen that many times since 2016.

Lol no. And he hasn't made many big plays this season.

Thank goodness for Trubisky.

With all the supposed talent in the Raven's secondary, they sure are mediocre. Humphrey getting embarrassed.

There it is on the GEFS. Man what a nice look.

Fluid mechanics/dynamics is cool stuff. Fascinating. Look up Karman vortex street. Vortex shedding occurs on all scales with high enough flow around an obstruction. There is even a flowmeter based on the principle.

Sure is. Guidance in general has been hinting for a couple days now.

Search Atmospheric Angular Momentum and EAMT. Plenty of technical papers on the topic. Complex large scale physics. Esoteric stuff. General idea- The atmosphere is a fluid moving relative to the rotating earth. Big mountains (ie in east Asia)represent obstructions/disturbances to the flow, and act like a 'lever arm' in a sense, imparting a force relative to the earth's rotation, and can influence jet stream configuration.

Yep. Many of our good events are hybrids. Miller B gets associated too much with Ninas and failure. We have many failure modes lol.

Cold air in place ahead of a storm, with a favorable pattern, gives the MA lowlands the best opportunity for frozen. The late week deal has always looked convoluted and simply not enough cold around yet.

It's possible. I am mostly just having a little fun with the labels. The advertised pattern would support a primary wave taking the southern route. There will certainly be pieces of energy in the NS with that look.

Miller A for Xmas!

The big 3 global means are all suggestive of one or more waves tracking from the the deep south up along the east coast between Dec 20-25, with cold air in place. Same general favorable h5 look- Go Canada!

Marcus Williams also activated. Hopefully he plays tomorrow. Secondary significantly better with him in there.

I think pretty much everyone here realizes this is a marginal cold setup, with relatively low chances for significant frozen.

As I said the other day, all our hopes and dreams are mostly dependent on random interactions between waves. Man what a weird hobby lol.

The flow is a bit more compressed(h5 vorticity is stretched out) due to the closer proximity of the quasi-50-50 low. These subtle differences in spacing/interaction can make significant differences in outcome.

What happened to that cad signature the gfs modeled 24 hours ago? Primary low stronger and further north, and all that HP across the top is a tad weaker. The ultimate outcome is still TBD with this one.