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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, for MBY, agreed....45mph gusts and 2"+ of rain is a pretty common occurrence.
  2. Not for MBY I wasn't impressed, but didn't expect that. I was shocked by what I saw in Malden...and the 70mph in Boston. Yikes. THAT is impressive.
  3. Credit to Scott and Nick for the seasonal guidance.....put some thoughts together this evening... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/10/winter-2020-preliminary-thoughts-vs.html More on ENSO next week, but I mentioned last month not to give up on marginal el nino.
  4. Good call by those talking this up...not a run of the mill event for the region.
  5. Yea, Melrose and Malden got smoked.....facility I supervise is in Malden. Trees down everywhere.
  6. My pressure bottomed out at 977mb at 6am, as compared to 975mb at KLWM, where peak gust of 46mph was at 3am and 11am. Where did low track?
  7. Raise your hand if you want to be directly under the heart of the cold.....
  8. Thanks, John. I'm honestly considering all of this stuff much more than I have in the past. Healthy dose of humility last year has served me well.
  9. I dont think its toasty here....initial dump is west, like last year, but I bet we see bit better luck this go around.
  10. I was impressed closer to the coast near work, in the Malden, Melrose area...pretty widespread tree damage. Up my way here in Methuen, it was about as expected. Without looking at any modeling bc I wasn't very interested, I expected this to underperform like most wind events, but this one did not.
  11. Care to elaborate? Are you implying that the ocean and atmosphere are poorly coupled like last year?
  12. I would be fine with 07-08 in my hood. Probably 85-90" here. I had 73.5" in Wilmington...
  13. How do you explain 2004 and 2014 acting like "typical" weak el nino events?
  14. It definitely underperformed relative to consensus forecasts. I, along with many others here, never expected much.
  15. I don't think the rain will whiff this time.. wind will underperform, sure.
  16. I was wondering what pickles was talking about.
  17. Looks like a huge storm....but I don't really care for two reasons: 1) Its October. 2) Thankfully its October because the track blows. Looks like its for real, though. Better than nothing...
  18. Great job. Although last winter was actually pretty snowy across NNE.
  19. I get that...we have plenty of Miller Bs analagous to 1978, but unless sensible impact will be comparable, I don't see the value. To the contrary, it creates alot of unnecessary hype from the ill informed masses (not you).
  20. The analogy should be laughed at, regardless of where it tracked. This is simply not as anomalous.
  21. Its a pretty standard occurence for the majority of folks.
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