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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. This is what I have been saying....you have to go back to 12/28 to find a high not between 33 and 41 IMBY. TBH, I would not have minded this stretch so much if we had a decent pack. The grinch ruined the first half.
  2. It seems that way, but Scott is right....nothing record breaking, but once that PAC jet settles down, there should eventually be some anomalous cold. I am not as pessimistic on February as I was when I wrote the outlook, mainly given the SSW.....but we will see. I was hedging towards a Feb 2018 type month, but kind of doubting that now.
  3. Most of it arriving on the streets of the higher terrain in central VT and NH. 0.0 interest in that.
  4. I would not be surprised.....definitely at least one
  5. Coating of snow last night....strange.
  6. Don't everyone all rush to post at once lol....so defeated.
  7. Lol P sunny, but can't rule out a blizzard....pissah.
  8. You are usually pretty reasonable.
  9. Anyone dismissing snow threats at this latitude in Feb is silly.
  10. I could def see pattern the first week or two in Feb like the one we are about to come out of, with a +EPO and neg NAO.....not great, but serviceable. And it may work out better w a little luck bc the pattern will reset. Probably less likely to see suppression at that point in the season w peak snowfall climo.
  11. Moron. No need for that....seems volatile like DT....knows his stuff, but gets carried away.
  12. Yea, I thought the second half of Dec would have had at least one more event....but I honestly called for a boring January. Composite was dry.. also saw some SWFE, which has worked out. Been warmer than I thought due to mins, but that should cool off second half of month.
  13. I am comforted that scooter seems a bit more optimistic about Feb.....guy is a walking caution flag.
  14. Yea, not a huge diff....but just saying hours of research do make a bit of a diff. Don't take that the wrong way, I don't mean it in an arrogant way...
  15. No, I think my call is better than the avg person's guess , and is better than a coin flip.. just being honest.
  16. I do see a path to a serviceable Feb if blocking hangs in....I don't mean to go Bamwx and be a dick. That is the main concern w my Feb forecast, but I am confident EPO goes bye bye. Think blocking does wane, but depends on how much of a fight it puts up.
  17. Whatever...early Feb. I have said before, I could even see a phase change event in the early days of Feb. My point is the pattern should start breaking down early in Feb. Probably EPO before the NAO....arctic may put up a fight.
  18. Doesn't mean it can't snow in February....just not as good of a pattern. If blocking remains, its serviceable...if not, then we will need alot of luck.
  19. 10 days of really favorable period.
  20. Picture him with that music playing ....in a creepy slouch on the couch with a cigarette out of the corner of his mouth.and hand in pants.with unkempt hair..that video on the laptop, scribbled tides from 78 on a very stained, yellow napkin in the free hand with one sick grin on his face.
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