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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Since 1990, every season which featured nino region 4 over+.5C in late september went on to become el nino. I had the list on my last blog. This one was +1.0.
  2. Some moron that Anthony quoted on twitter. Saw another story on Facebook from Wilmington Patch...."converging weather systems is perfeft storm, just less intense". Yes, last winter was Feb 2015, just milder and 60" less snow.
  3. Bingo. I've seen some drama queens drawing perfect storm comps on social media.
  4. Starting to look more like a true modoki weak el nino...not even basin-wide, like last year.
  5. Yea, I never understood why some were dismissing chances for weak el nino with region 4 being so warm.
  6. I think the SSW played a large role, as it ultimately provided the impetus for the PV to coalesce and the MJO was just pinned. That is the risk in really meager ENSO events...alternate forcing mechanisms can interfere.
  7. I think its a bit too hasty to definitively procliam any typical manifestation of weak ENSO as purely coincidental.
  8. Yea, bares watching....I have not written el nino off. And the modoki rating can change swiftly, as we saw last year.
  9. Its probably not going to be an el nino at all, but the surface and subsurface warmth is definitely biased west.
  10. Looks like the seasonal snowfall gradient this past winter.
  11. I'm in the minority, but I don't track something like that any more than I do a sunny day. Its either going to rain hard and be blustery imby, or be damp and not blustery. I lean toward the latter, but couldn't care less. No knock on those that do...I get it.
  12. Am I the only one who doesn't care where it trends?
  13. Haven't done anything in my mind until they beat Houston.
  14. Lo was 34 on the Davis in Wilmington at mom's...so 5* colder imby. Hi was 58.8 here and 58 there, so instruments seem fine.
  15. My guess is it will be 30-31....I can tell you that my spot here in Methuen radiates very well. I'm a 150' "valley" in the midst of a bit of a 250'-350' "spine". Obviously these are all relative terms, but it makes a difference during prime radiative conditions.
  16. When I drop my mothee off later after the baby shower, I will check my old Davis.
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