40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Who cares if it doesn't catch up until near New Foundland
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The last two runs were perfect...this one is more like 2021.
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He is thinking of the 2013 March fire hose.
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Maybe so, but your demeanor is always so dismissive and uninspired.
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No doubt...you would think the guy lived in ACK from his posts.
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That really has always been the case....only some of the weenie runs over the past 24 hours have strayed from that notion.
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Will is probably going to get like 7"...but 2" here would be a tremendous moral victory.
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Edge of my seat!!
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I'm sitting on hold in the office, what you like me to do, dry hump an eraser with the computer and lights off?
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Will I appreciate an inch or two in a snow famine? Of course....never denied that. But I won't be glued to the computer over it...
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I never really bought into the route 2 jack idea. I still expect little to no snow, which is why I haven't been feverishly posting about, as some suggested should be the case.
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Yea, had one guess where the band cut-off, and astoundingly I was right.
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Can you post the map, please? Thanks.
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I hate these low stakes forecasts that are still a PIA.
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Yea, I think we have a pretty good idea, but to each their own....perhaps we will have a better consensus at 3 hours lead time.
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Okay, then say that...but the NAM isn't "out of its range"-
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No, its not. Maybe its wrong, but 36 hrd lead time is not at all near the outer bounds of its range.
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Yea, I said last night it reminded me of Feb '69 displaced to the south about 100mi. Not insane dynamics, but just a protracted period of respectable rates. That event was also primarily NAO driven.
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3" here over 24 hours...Steve is right, I should have stayed up all night feverishly updating the blog. All kidding aside, I would take 3" of snow from this and run.
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Crazy how consistent the GFS was from 00z to 06z....not that it means anything. Same, exact placement....just intensified the system a bit more aggressively.
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Looks like mainly a Tues night through Wed night deal now...timing has pushed back.
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Tough to shake the feeling that, as John alluded to, this will end up something tamer, like the EURO. Even if the dynamics end up weaker than advertised, one thing that this one has going for it is duration. We'll see...I just never trust a HECS/MECS look during a mod la nina.
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06Z GFS even took things up a notch from 00z...
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Heh....I haven't looked at anything, but usually its more crucial to be WEST of I 495, which I am not. Edit: That is primarily an elevation event on the OP EURO.
