I am excited for the long range....I envision a gradient pattern lead in from the 20th into NY, than maybe a week to 10 days potential to go BOOM before we thaw again in January....then we await the real PV disruption.
Finally got a coating with some very poor snowgrowth..whatever paltry lift developed must be below the SGZ. Oh well....at least I verified my coating (C-2") locally.
https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/12/mild-mid-month-on-horizon-before.html
I think the mid atl is in trouble for the the rest of the month given persistent RNA, but different story up here.
If the regression fairies really want to be most proficient, we'll have a slew of 12/92, 1/03 and 3/01 like gradients. The coast needs to bend over for awhile.