40/70 Benchmark

I salute you.

Just need to downwell into the delorean and propegate back to 1978.

SSTs down, sun angle up....lol

The problem right now is not a se ridge.

No problem. Hopefully that GEFS solution is more accurate, but my guess is the end result will be more tempered.

Nah, mid December was noted in the outlook for the original favorable period, which worked out. But due to some bad luck with the NAO block being a bit displaced to the south, it didn't last as long as I had thought. For January, I implied a relatively quiet stretch, with near normal to slightly above normal attempts, and mixed events. I actually mentioned in the write up that I felt as though there would be a propensity for the NAO blocking to be biased east, so pretty close.

Okay, I am going to temper my visceral reaction and give you the benefit of the doubt, assuming that you would like to learn, and perhaps your emotions are handicapping your reading comprehension a bit. The tweet indicates that the GEFS have better ridging over AK, and a more classic NAO, which is why it has a colder pattern over N America. Since ridging over AK helps to facilitate the delivery of cold into the CONUS, and the NAO helps to hold it while modulating the storm track in a favorable manner, THIS IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR FANS OF WINTER WEATHER. That is all I meant by favorable....NOT that any guidance is favored over the other. However, I did imply that I would rather have the EPS depicting the more favorable outcome for snow and cold, since it is the more skilled guidance. I am really trying not to lose my patience here, and I think this is my final attempt.

Funny thing is, aside from the PNA, which I blew this season, this January has really validated my outlook....but it's just so tough to take. Very mundane...

You must be illiterate. I said it indicates that the GEFS is MORE FAVORABLE....ie for a wintry outcome, NOT favored. Your posts are consistently meteorologically vapid and idiotic.

I already had my melt....early this AM. I should start to re consolidate and regain control of my emotions.

Can you read? The tweet indicates that the GEFS is more favorable. It says GEFS have more ridging over AK, a more classic NAO and is thus colder over N America. It's clear that the GEFS is more favorable, regardless of what actually verifies.

The winter treadmill.

I'm sure Cohen will update the AER blog on Monday to let us all know that he verified via the snow in Madrid and TX.

We will look back on Jan 2021 as the Candle pin pattern.

Only 10 more days!

It's more exciting than the past 3 weeks and next week of weather.

Well, if it did manage to awry, this would be my third consecutive below avg snowfall season....I think the most I have seen on record is 4, so that regression bank is being restored.

10 pin.

Mother nature's balls on my chin, so far

Ten pin? Not sure as to diff...

What I meant about the HC disappearing was a sarcastic reference to the evisceration of any semblance of a gradient, which was actually too much in the other direction. Lol The one time we need the damn thing, and its nowhere to be found.

All that is saying is the GEFS are more favorable than the EPS, which is actually not what you want.

Nah, I'll manage, since I at least beat the wife and baby at bowling last night.

The HC part was sarcasm....whoosh

Should...